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Orioles vs. Rays Prediction and Odds (Rays Should Roll Over Lowly O's)

By Matt De Saro

Tampa Bay Rays starter Shane McClanahan.
Tampa Bay Rays starter Shane McClanahan. / Julio Aguilar/GettyImages
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The Baltimore Orioles are expected to be the worst team in the Majors this season with an expected win total of 61.5. For a team that won just 52 games last year, that feels like a high bar. The Orioles are coming off three straight losses to end Spring Training. I think those games will set the tone for another losing season from Baltimore. 

The Orioles will start the season on the road against a dangerous Tampa Bay Rays team. The Rays are expected to win at least 90 games this season after winning 100 last year. They lost some key players like Austin Meadows and Joey Wendle, but, the Rays are one of the best teams at developing young players and I am not worried about them losing two role players such as Meadows and Wendle.

As the odds suggest, the Orioles are heavy underdogs here. Anyone looking to beat Baltimore this year better get used to that. 

Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line

  • Orioles: +1.5 (-145)
  • Rays: -1.5 (+125)

Moneyline:

  • Orioles: +175
  • Rays: -190

Total:

  • 7.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Orioles vs. Rays Prediction and Pick

If you couldn’t already tell, I am not a fan of the Orioles this year. More specifically, I am not a fan of betting on them. The Orioles not only had the worst straight-up record in the Majors last year but, they also had the third-worst ATS mark. Baltimore covered just 43.2 percent of its games on the run line. Only the Mets and Twins did worse. Considering it has done nothing to make the team better since October, I have to assume that this losing trend continues in Baltimore. 

Baltimore’s Opening Day starter, John Means, is one of the lone bright spots on this team. He finished the year with a 3.62 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. His 6-9 record was not great, but that was more of a byproduct of how terrible the Orioles are. Means is great and I hope, for his sake, he gets out of Baltimore. 

But, even with their ace on the mound, the Orioles still can't hit. They were one of the worst teams in the league in terms of scoring last year and I see no reason for that to change in 2022.

Pick: Rays -1.5 (+125)

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE

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