Packers Getting Completely Disrespected in Updated Super Bowl Odds

Despite being one of the best teams in the NFL, the Green Bay Packers' odds to win the Super Bowl are still a bit low for our tastes.
Despite being one of the best teams in the NFL, the Green Bay Packers' odds to win the Super Bowl are still a bit low for our tastes. / Dan Powers/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wis / USA
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As we roll into the home stretch of this 2021 NFL regular season, the playoff picture comes more into focus after each game.

While some races are tightening up, most of the favorites have begun to separate themselves from the pack. The Patriots have a two-game lead over the Bills, the Cowboys are running away with the NFC East and Buccaneers have left the rest of the NFC South in the dust. 

Another Super Bowl contender running away with their division is the Green Bay Packers in the NFC North. With their Week 14 win over the Chicago Bears the Packers are now 10-3 straight up (SU) and the 6-7 Minnesota Vikings are their closest “competition” in the division. While the Vikings are not mathematically eliminated, I think it is very safe to assume that the Packers won’t implode to such a degree. 

So, with a clear path to the playoffs and one of the best quarterbacks in history, why are the Packers still getting overlooked in the futures market? As it stands, they are well behind the Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs as favorites to hoist the hardware in February. 

Here are the current odds to win Super Bowl LVI from WynnBET Sportsbook:

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +475
  • Kansas City Chiefs | +550
  • Green Bay Packers | +625
  • New England Patriots | +675
  • Arizona Cardinals | +900
  • Los Angeles Rams | +1100
  • Dallas Cowboys | +1200

While I totally get the Tampa Bay Buccaneers being favored to win it all, the Kansas City Chiefs in the second spot is a little confounding. I’ll admit, I have felt this way about the Chiefs throughout this season and continue to be proven wrong. But, I am still not sold on this team as the best the AFC has to offer as the odds suggest.

For one thing, they are stuck in a tight race in the AFC West with rivals the Los Angeles Chargers. With the two playing on Thursday Night Football in Week 15, the Chiefs could lose their top spot overnight.

Perhaps the odds are reflected in the Packers loss to the Chiefs already this season, but that loss came without Aaron Rodgers and the Chiefs only won 13-7. Had Rodgers not popped positive for COVID, I think Green Bay would have dominated the Chiefs during the end of their early slump. 

Through 14 weeks of play, the Packers have been one of the most consistent teams in the league both SU and against the spread. The Packers lead the NFL in ATS wins with 11 and an 84.6 cover percentage. KC is 22nd at 6-7 ATS and has a 46.2 percent cover rate vs. the spread. 

I’m not saying the Chiefs don’t belong near the top of this list or that they are a bad bet to win the Super Bowl, but the Packers deserve better than they are getting and might be worth a look at this price.