For the fifth time ever, we’ll see a Tom Brady-Aaron Rodgers matchup. Brady is 3-1 in the previous four matchups, but this is one of the more intriguing games. The Packers and Bucs are trying to figure out their wide receiving corps, while also leaning on the running game more to power the offense.
They aren’t at the peak of their powers, but these two quarterbacks never fail to give us a show. Let’s dive into the odds to find the value.
Packers vs. Buccaneers Spread, Odds and Over/Under
Packers vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread and Total Movement in Week 3
Green Bay has moved from a 2.5-point underdog to a 1.5-point underdog.
Packers vs. Buccaneers Best Bet and Prediction
Yes, Tom Brady has looked a little washed up. Yes, the Packers don’t have a lot of wide receivers. However, this an Aaron Rodgers-Tom Brady matchup and it’s one of the lower totals on the board this week. I think we’re getting a discount and overreacting to the first two weeks of the season.
Green Bay is 11th in the league in yards per game and the Bucs’ offensive strength – running the ball – is the weakness of the Packers’ defense. Leonard Fournette is primed for a big day, and two touchdowns may be on the table for him.
The Bucs’ offense regularly struggles against the Saints, so I don’t have too much concern on that front. As for Green Bay, it just needs to convert in the red zone, as it is only scoring touchdowns on half of its trip.
All in all, I think this game features two great quarterbacks that will do just a little more than the bare minimum.
You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.