Rockies vs. Giants Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, June 8 (All Signs Point Over)
By Joe Summers
The 29-25 San Francisco Giants host the 24-31 Colorado Rockies tonight at 9:45 PM EST after blowing a 3-2 lead last night in an upset loss.
Colorado snapped a four-game losing streak with the win, and hope to get a second-straight win with Antonio Senzatela on the mound in this one. This is the third time Senzatela will pitch against the Giants, after giving up five runs over 5.2 innings in the first two contests. On the season, he has a 2-3 record and 5.40 ERA.
San Francisco will counter with Alex Wood, who held the Rockies scoreless over 5.1 innings last month. Wood has a 3-5 record and 4.66 ERA as he's struggled with consistency, and he's been dreadful at home with a 6.11 ERA over four outings.
Can the Giants get revenge behind Wood or will Colorado prove a feisty underdog once again? Perhaps bettors should target the total instead of a side?
To answer those questions, let's bring in our friends from WynnBET Sportsbook and check out the odds for today's Rockies vs Giants matchup:
Rockies vs Giants Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Rockies +1.5 (-115)
- Giants -1.5 (-105)
Moneyline:
- Rockies: +190
- Giants: -210
Total:
- 9.0 (Over +100/Under -120)
Rockies vs Giants Prediction and Pick
The Giants burned me last night, costing me my MLB parlay as the only squad who didn't get the job done. I'm admittedly scorned, but will do my best to separate my feelings from the game ahead. But San Francisco is just 2-4 in their last six, and their bullpen is starting to become a real problem.
With the sixth-worst bullpen ERA in MLB at 4.49, what was once thought to be a strength is a significant wart for San Francisco. There's only a handful of groups worse than the Giants' relievers, but one of them happens to belong to Colorado, which has the second-worst bullpen in the league with an ERA of 5.10.
Neither team is good defensively either, with the Rockies ranking dead-last in Outs Above Average and the Giants ranking 27th. So if we've got bad bullpens and bad defenses, are the starting pitchers at least able to slow these lineups down?
Not exactly. Antonio Senzatela is on the short list for "Worst Starters in Baseball" with a league-worst 7.25 expected ERA. For reference, the worst expected ERA among qualified pitchers Jose Berrios' 6.57. Senzatela doesn't have enough innings to technically qualify, but that's only because he's been so bad that he gets pulled early in games. Just look at his MLB Statcast Pitching Profile and try not to wince:
The over is a perfect 8-0 in Senzatela's starts this season and I see no reason to think today will be different. Alex Wood has been dreadful at home and the Rockies have the second-highest OPS against left-handed pitchers this season.
Wood hasn't finished the sixth inning in a single start this year, and with a terrible bullpen and defense backing him up, the over has been a great bet in his outings too. It's 5-2 in his last seven, including hitting in three straight home games.
Back the over to stay undefeated in Senzatela's starts and improve to 17-8-1 when the Giants are at home.
Pick: Over 9.0 (+100)
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.