Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Prediction and Odds For SEC Tournament Semifinals (Back Aggies in Offensive Showcase)

We've got a matchup of two flaming hot teams as the 22-11 #8 Texas A&M Aggies take on the 25-7 #4 Arkansas Razorbacks in the SEC Tournament Semifinals today at 1:00 PM EST.

The Aggies took down Florida and Auburn in the first two rounds and have won and covered the spread in six straight. Arkansas, meanwhile, had a bye then beat LSU and is on an insane 14-2-1 against the spread (ATS) run. In fact, Texas A&M is one of only two teams (LSU being the other) that has covered against the Razorbacks in the last two months.

These teams split the regular season series, with A&M notching an 86-81 win in early January and the Razorbacks winning by three (but not covering) a couple of weeks later.

While Texas A&M may have stamped a ticket to March Madness with yesterday's win over Auburn, the only way to be sure is to get another victory today. Can they cement their status or will the Razorbacks stay hot?

Let's check out the odds at WynnBET to help us find out who has the edge in this SEC Tournament Semifinal matchup:

Texas A&M vs Arkansas Odds, Spread and Total

Spread

• Texas A&M +5.5 (-110)
• Arkansas -5.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

• Texas A&M: +200
• Arkansas: -240

Total:

• 139.0 (Over -110/Under -110)

Texas A&M vs Arkansas Prediction and Pick

Man, am I fired up for this one. These teams are a blast to watch and have been fantastic to bettors all year. But how am I supposed to pick between two of my favorite teams to bet on? Can they both win and cover? Hey WynnBET, can we add that option?

I'll do my best to choose my favorite child but this feels like cruel and unusual punishment. Okay, here goes nothing.

The Aggies have turned into a team that absolutely belongs in the NCAA Tournament and I think they stand a fantastic chance to pull off the upset. Believe it or not, but over the last five games Texas A&M has flat out been better than Arkansas. They're in the 82nd percentile nationaly in net rating in that span while the Razorbacks are in just the 61st thanks to a defensive rating that has fallen from the 89th percentile to the 18th.

A&M has been on fire offensively, ranking in the 94th percentile in effective field goal percentage in those five games. They're shooting lights out from beyond the arc and getting to the free throw line a ton while being menaces defensively with a 98th-percentile ranking in steal percentage.

The Razorbacks have found ways to cover behind excellent guard play, but they're a poor three-point shooting team and are in only the 18th percentile in defensive rebounding in those last five. Texas A&M ranks in the 94th percentile in offensive rebounding on the season and should give themselves plenty of second-chance opportunities.

If the Aggies win, they're in the Big Dance. We should see a fully-focused effort and I think they get the cover and perhaps even win, but I'm also on the over. With how good their offense has been and the Razorbacks' recent defensive struggles, I think we're in for a high-scoring game.

Recent trends support that notion too. The over has hit in five straight Arkansas games and is 11-4 in the Aggies last 15. I trust those to continue and A&M to keep it close.

Pick: Texas A&M +5.5 (-110) and Over 139 (-110)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.