Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Back UNDER in Arizona, Yankees, Mets to Win on Wednesday)
We have another day without the NFL, so why not bet on some baseball on Wednesday night?
The BetSided team has you covered with some of their favorite picks for tonight's MLB action, with odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds, Prediction and Pick
If there's ever an opportunity for Arizona to break out of its offensive slump, facing Michael Grove at home may be their best opportunity. The rookie right-hander has made two starts for the Dodgers this season, giving up five runs in only 9.1 innings for a 4.82 ERA.
However, it's worth nothing that Grove has been incredibly unlucky in those starts; with a Fielding Independent Pitching, or FIP of 3.22 and an even lower expected ERA (xERA) of 2.92.
As for Zach Davies, prior to a rough start in Coors Field his last time out, he actually looked pretty decent. Over his last six starts, he pitched to a 2.32 ERA in 31.1 innings, not allowing more than three earned runs in any of those outings. At Chase Field this season, he's been pretty solid with a 3.14 ERA in 51.2 innings; giving up just four home runs compared to 14 on the road.
Ultimately, I'll lean under here as I don't trust Arizona's offense one bit against a pitcher due for some positive regression, and Davies' strong numbers at home lead me to think we see a lower number than what Vegas projects.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds, Prediction and Pick
There are still a ton of questions with this Yankees offense, as Judge seems to bail this team out time and time again, but I think there is value on the Yankees as a short road favorite here.
Bello has been better over his last four starts, posting a 3.54 ERA and 2.38 Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP), but he’s not going to pitch deep into games, pitching more than 5.1 innings just once all season.
That’s where Boston loses me, as the team’s bullpen ranks 25th in ERA this season, and it blew last night’s game despite getting four runs off of Cole.
You could make the argument that Cortes has been New York’s best pitcher this season, and he’s allowed three or fewer earned runs in eight straight starts. Give me the Yankees at Fenway on Wednesday night.
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Odds, Prediction and Pick
Surprisingly, the Cubs are beginning to dominate this matchup. Chicago has won its last three games against the Mets, and it’s going for a fourth tonight. After last night’s win, where the Cubs were the biggest underdog to win, some would say they have momentum coming into tonight.
However, I’m going to buy low on the Mets tonight. New York is 33-20 on the run line following a loss and 38-15 SU after losing. The Mets know how to bounce back in a big way, and that’s what will happen tonight.
Chicago also doesn’t handle success too well. The Cubs are 27-32 SU after a win. I’m expecting a loss for the Cubbies, and I’d rather back the Mets to cover than to say the Cubs won’t lose too badly.