Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Back Angels as Underdog, Giants as Favorite and One Total on Sunday)
Football season is approaching, but that doesn't mean we can't enjoy Sunday baseball while it still dominates the sports schedule. With 15 games, starting at 12:05 p.m. EST on Sunday, there's plenty of action to bet on.
Every day at BetSided, we share some of our favorite plays to help you make a little extra scratch while watching America's Pastime.
Here are some of the top picks from Peter Dewey and Joe Summers for the action on Sunday, Aug. 7:
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers Odds, Prediction and Pick
- Run Line: Rays -1.5 (-115) | Tigers +1.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Rays: -169 | Tigers: +154
- Total: 8 (Over -120/Under +100)
It’s really hard to back the Rays right now, as they haven't been playing their best baseball lately and are struggling on offense.
Rasmussen does give me a little confidence, as he’s been lights out since July, compiling a 2.37 ERA over his last six starts. The Rays are 4-2 in those games.
Manning is making his fourth start of the season for Detroit, and he’s been solid, allowing three or fewer runs in his first three outings in 2022.
I think this could lead to some value on the UNDER, as these teams both have strong bullpens. Detroit is fourth in bullpen ERA this season while the Rays come in at eighth.
Neither offense has been good lately, both ranking in the bottom 10 in OPS over the last 15 days and ranking 30th (Detroit) and 25th (Tampa Bay) in the category for the season.
I’ll back the UNDER in the series finale at plus money.
Pick: UNDER 8 (+100) -- Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners Odds, Prediction and Pick
- Run Line: Angels +1.5 (-155) | Mariners -1.5 (+127)
- Moneyline: Angels: +139 | Mariners: -149
- Total: 8.0 (Over -110/Under -110)
It's hard to find much reason to back Marco Gonzales as a favorite, even against the lowly Angels. He's got the worst FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of all MLB qualified pitchers by a long shot at 5.30. Patrick Corbin has the second-highest FIP at 4.97, so it's not hyperbole to say Gonzales is MLB's worst starter.
Gonzales allowed a whopping six home runs over his last three starts, and his MLB Statcast Pitching Profile is a nightmare:
Even though Tucker Davison is far from impressive himself, the Mariners' lineup ranks just 26th in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last three weeks. Thus, I'm not sure Seattle's offense can keep up with what I expect Los Angeles' output to be.
Shohei Ohtani has to be salivating at the opportunity to face Gonzales, and I'd take a long look at home run props for Angels.
With Los Angeles winning five of six as road underdogs, the club is finally showing some life. At +139, I'll take a shot on the Angels continuing their strong run against a pitcher I look to fade at every chance I get.
Pick: Angels (+139) -- Joe Summers
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.
San Francisco Giants vs. Oakland Athletics Odds, Prediction and Pick
- Run Line: Giants -1.5 (-120) | Athletics +1.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Giants: -200 | Athletics: +180
- Total: 8 (Over -110/Under -110)
After an impressive MLB debut, Adrian Martinez has really struggled since, allowing 16 runs (14 earned) in his last three starts (14 innings pitched).
That’s not going to get it done, even with the Giants struggling at the dish, as Webb has been one of the team’s more consistent starters the past few seasons.
While Logan Webb has been knocked around for 10 runs over his last two outings, he also had nine straight outings with three or fewer runs allowed.
This Oakland team is bad, especially after making some moves at the deadline, and there’s no way I’ll trust its league-worst offense (by OPS) to get the upper hand on Webb.
Lean: Giants -1.5 (-120) -- Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.