Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Back Two OVERs, Trust Reds on Monday, June 6)
There's only six games in Major League Baseball on Monday, but that doesn't mean we can't make some picks!
The BetSided crew of Reed Wallach and Josh Yourish have you covered with some of their top plays for the action on Monday, June 6, with all odds via WynnBET:
Nw York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Prediction and Pick
These are two of the best in the National League, and I actually find myself liking the over quite a bit. The Mets have been strong against left handed pitching this season, top half of the league in on-base percentage this season. While Blake Snell is still being stretch out (he pitched six innings for the first time this season last time out), the Mets ability to plate runs is noted and the Padres used their bullpen quite a bit over the weekend against the Brewers.
If Snell struggles and forces the team to go into their pen for extended work, the Mets can push this game over on their own. However, I expect the Padres to pounce on Carlos Carrasco, who has staggering home/road splits. Carrasco has a 2.78 ERA in six home starts, posting a 4-0 record, while his ERA has ballooned north of 5.00 on the road. This is a formidable Padres lineup that is looking for a spark, bottom 10 in on-base percentage since May 15, and Carrasco can be ripe for a poor start.
I'll look to this low total to go over given the concerns on the mound despite the name brand.
LEAN: Over 7.5 (+100) -- Reed Wallach
You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction and Pick
Madison Bumgarner had a bit of a rocky May, in which his ERA jumped from 1.17 to 3.35. Still a solid number for the aging pitcher, but his first start of June seemed to steady the ship. He went six and gave up two runs against Atlanta, but took a hard luck loss with no run support.
What is bizarre about Bumgarner’s season is the discrepancy between his ERA and his FIP. Even through his first four starts of the year his ERA was 1.00, but his FIP was over four. Now his respectable 3.31 ERA is accompanied by a FIP of 4.92. His strikeout to walk ratio is the worst of his career. His ERA may be the lowest of his time in Arizona, but the peripheral stats suggest that it will continue to climb.
On the other side, Hunter Greene looked like he was going to have a dominant performance against Boston last time out. He struck out the first four he faced. After three scoreless innings he had seven K’s and only needed 44 pitches to do it. Greene’s final line was 3.2 IP, 4 ER, on 6 hits.
Regardless of that, he’s a young pitcher who is learning and heading in the right direction, while Bumgarner is on the wrong side of 30 and his numbers show it.
These pitchers are like two ships passing in the night and I want to hop on the one with a course set for better days.
Lean: Reds -118 -- Josh Yourish
Follow all of Josh's betting picks in real-time HERE.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction and Pick
Since May 15, the Blue Jays have turned it on and are starting to hit to their potential, second in baseball in wRC+ and on-base percentage. After struggling relative to expectation through the first six weeks of the season, we are starting to see the talent in the Toronto lineup as they destroy pitchers at the dish.
Toronto does very well against lefties, third in on-base percentage against southpaws and will find success against Daniel Lynch, Royals starter. The second-year starter struggles with walks, more than four per nine innings and has a WHIP (Walks, Hits per Inning Pitched) greater than 1.5, meaning that there is always trouble on the base paths.
With all that in mind, Toronto is a considerable favorite at -180, so I'm going to look towards the over as the Blue Jays have a middling bullpen and Ross Stripling hasn't been great, posting an ERA of 4.22 with an average WHIP of 1.281. Since May 15, the Royals are above league average in wRC+, meaning they are generating a decent share of run scoring chances.
I can't trust the Blue Jays as big favorites, but I think we are in for a high scoring affair with two offenses seeing the ball well.
LEAN: Over 9.5 (+100) -- Reed Wallach