Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Cubs, Marlins Amongst Three Upsets to Bet on Monday)

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz. / Michael Reaves/GettyImages
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Looking to wager on some Major League Baseball on Monday night?

You've come to the right place, as the BetSided team shares some of their top picks for each day in baseball, with all odds via WynnBET.

Today, our team of Joe Summers, Reed Wallach and Josh Yourish is loving the underdogs, and they have three you should consider playing on June 13:

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction and Pick

Keller is the latest in a long lineage of Pirates highly rated pitching prospects who failed to reach their potential. The struggles of Tyler Glasnow were linked to Ray Serage, the Pirates former pitching coach, and his pitch to contact philosophy that had Glasnow and others utilizing a sinker or two-seam fastball.  

Once out of Pittsburgh, Glasnow, Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon, Joe Musgrove and even Charlie Morton all reached new heights by ditching the pitch in favor of elevated four-seamers and have all been Cy Young candidates at some points in their career.

Ironically, Keller has now ditched his four-seam fastball in favor of a sinker and had two solid starts with that pitch. 

I’m all in on the Keller revival and think Vegas is late to the party. Pittsburgh needs a win and with Keller on the mound and facing a rookie making his first start, it looks like a good chance to get one.

Also, we need this in Pittsburgh, it speeds up the timeline for this team to compete considerable if Keller can become the pitcher we all expected when he came up a few years ago. I hope the Pirates finally got one right.

Pick: Pirates +165 -- Josh Yourish


Follow all Josh’s bets HERE.


Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Pick

Sandy Alcantara is worthy of all the praise. He has gone 8-plus innings in five starts already this season, nobody else has done it more than twice. He is leading baseball in innings pitched and ERA+ as well as WAR; his value can't be overstated.

However, the Phillies send out one of their Aaron Nola, who has Alcantara beat in a popular metric, WHIP (walks, hits per inning pitched). Nola is allowing a 0.884 WHIP and faces a far inferior offense in the Marlins. However, the team is showing life in June.

After taking a series from the Astros over the weekend, the Fish are now up to ninth in wRC+, meaning the team is generating a near-elite level of run scoring chances.

While the Phillies are top five in that same metric over the same time courtesy of their recent winning streak, I think we are getting a good sell-high spot on them. Nola is off his finest start of the season, 8 innings of shutout ball, but Alcantara's dominance can't be understated.

I'd rather take him at an underdog price than pay a tax on Philly off of a heater.

PICK: Marlins +120 -- Reed Wallach


You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!


San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Prediction and Pick

Justin Steele is a pitcher I'm looking to target the rest of the season. He had a brutal outing against the Cincinnati Reds a couple of weeks ago, but otherwise has improved throughout the season and looks like a legitimately good starter. Removing the Reds game, he has a 2.33 ERA since the start of May with impressive strikeout numbers.

San Diego is 19th in OPS against left-handed pitchers over the last three weeks and average over nine strikeouts per game on the road, a bottom-10 mark in MLB. The Padres have lost three of four as a road favorite and while the Cubs have been terrible of late, this is a good bounce-back spot.

Yu Darvish is a completely different pitcher on the road. There's just something about the friendly confines of San Diego that unlock his ability, but Wrigley Field and Chicago are not quite San Diego, and I expect his struggles to continue. Batters are hitting .286 against Darvish on the road compared to .134 at home, and he's struggled with command as well.

On the whole, there's a compelling case to be made Steele has been better than Darvish even including the latter's home success. Steele's expected ERA (3.38) is lower than Darvish's (3.94) and the Cubs actually rank fifth in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last two weeks.

I think there's value on Chicago to snap out of their slump. A typical bettor would likely look at this line and say "Wow, the Cubs are terrible and the Padres are good. How is San Diego only -127?" But that's what oddsmakers want us to think. Roll with the home underdogs as Steele continues his ascension and Darvish's road warts come back to bite him.

Pick: Cubs (+117)


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.