Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Dylan Cease Bounce Back, Yankees-A's Pick and More on Sunday)

Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Dylan Cease.
Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Dylan Cease. / Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

There are several pitching matchups to target on Sunday for some betting value, and the BetSided team of Peter Dewey, Joe Summers and Ben Heisler has you covered with some of their favorite plays.

Should you trust Dylan Cease? What about Patrick Corbin?

Those questions and more are answered in today's picks:

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago White Sox Odds, Prediction and Pick

Zach Davies has been extremely luck in recent outings. Here is his expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) from his last seven starts:

8/23 @ KCR: 5.90

8/17 @ SFG: 3.68

8/12 @ COL: 4.40

8/07 vs COL: 4.88

8/01 @ CLE: 7.32

6/25 vs DET: 5.27

6/20 @ SDP: 5.82

For reference, Marco Gonzales has MLB's worst expected FIP this season at 4.88. Davies is consistently pitching much worse than baseball's worst starter, so this is a perfect game for the White Sox lineup to do some damage.

I'm willing to chalk Dylan Cease's recent struggles up to just a couple of poor outings, and I trust his body of work on the season. This is one of MLB's most dominant pitchers, and I expect a bounce-back performance today.

Chicago won five games in a row on the run line as home favorites before yesterday's clunker. I'm fading Davies and backing the White Sox to pick up another convincing win thanks to Cease.

Pick: White Sox -1.5 (+120) -- Joe Summers

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Odds, Prediction and Pick

After seeing Cincinnati as a relatively short favorite against Corbin, my first reaction was to wonder what I'm missing. Corbin is dreadful, Lodolo generates a ton of swings-and-misses, and Cincinnati, despite a terrible record matches up well.

Ultimately, I arrived at the same place. The Reds' lineup with Lodolo on the mound is far superior than the Nats' lineup with Corbin going.

Over Lodolo's last six starts in the second half, his numbers have been very solid. In 33.2 innings, he owns a 3.21 ERA with a 3.36 expected ERA.

Per ESPN, Cincinnati is 36-14 when they out-hit their opponents. Corbin owns a 1.81 WHIP, walks-hits-per-innings-pitched, whereas Lodolo comes in at 1.52. Both numbers are high, but with the high strikeout rate that the Reds' left-hander creates, there's a decisive advantage.

I'll take the Reds on the moneyline, and enjoy betting against Patrick Corbin at a hefty discount.

New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics Odds, Prediction and Pick

This could be a coming out party for Clarke Schmidt, who has been terrific for the Yankees this season in mainly a bullpen role. 

Schmidt has thrown 10 straight scoreless innings for the Yanks, and with Nestor Cortes on the IL, this is an opportunity for Schmidt to audition for the postseason roster and next season's rotation. 

He certainly has the edge over Adrian Martinez, who made a solid debut on May 10, but since then has a 7.85 ERA in four starts. 

New York has the superior bullpen in this matchup, and after an extra innings affair on Saturday, I have to give the edge to the team with the better starter. Martinez simply hasn’t pitched well, and it’s a reason why he hasn’t remained in Oakland’s rotation, making spot starts over the last few months. 

The Yankees need this game, as a split with the A’s would be a massive failure after winning the first two games.