Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Red Sox Upset, Zac Gallen Day and One Total to Play)
We have just two days left in the MLB regular season, so get your picks on some of these teams while they are still around!
Tonight, we're looking at a few of these teams that won't make the playoffs, such as the Boston Red Sox, Arizona Diamondbacks and Miami Marlins.
Here are some of the top picks from Peter Dewey and Josh Yourish on Tuesday:
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds, Prediction and Pick
Both of these pitchers turned in solid starts against these teams earlier in the month, as Eric Lauer allowed just two runs over 6.2 innings against Arizona and Zac Gallen tossed seven scoreless in his outing against the Brew Crew.
Despite that, these pitchers are far from equal.
Gallen has been terrific to close this season, posting a 1.27 ERA over his last 13 starts, leading the D-Backs to a 10-3 record in those games. He hasn’t allowed more than three runs in a start since July 8.
Meanwhile, Lauer has a 4.56 Fielding Independent Pitching this season, showcasing that he’s been a little lucky to have an ERA under 4.00. He also has a 5.82 ERA this month, with his best start coming against a bad Miami Marlins offense.
With Milwaukee’s season over after tomorrow, I think this is a let down spot, especially against a tough pitcher like Gallen.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds, Prediction and Pick
Boston tagged Spring for five runs back in August, but overall he’s been terrific this season, especially over the last two months.
In his last 11 starts, Jeffrey Springs has a 2.14 ERA, 2.36 Fielding Independent Pitching and has struck out 64 batters in 59.0 innings of work. The Rays are 8-3 in those 11 starts, and they are 17-7 in his starts this season.
Nathan Eovaldi returned from the injured list to make a start against Baltimore on Sept. 29, pitching 4.2 innings of two-run ball (one earned) in a 5-3 Boston win.
My concern here is with the Tampa Bay offense, which ranks 27th in baseball in OPS over the last 15 days. Boston, on the other hand, ranks 11th in that category and it’s also eighth in OPS against lefties in the 2022 season.
Spring has been money for the Rays, but I am not sure he gets the run support he will need to win this game.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Odds, Prediction and Pick
The Marlins won all of Braxton Garrett’s three starts in September and now, in 16 starts this year, he has worked his ERA down to 3.56 with 83 strikeouts and 19 walks in 83.1 innings. He has been an impressive pitcher from the left side at just 25-years-old, and along with Luzardo who went last night, is a great foundational piece for this Miami rotation going forward.
The Marlins have won three in a row on the back of good pitching and Bryan De La Cruz. He had a two-run homer last night, part of a three hit, three RBI night and for the past week he has a 1.129 OPS. It’s starting to feel like the Marlins could fend off the division title celebration for another day, especially against Odorizzi.
Jake Odorizzi has not been what Atlanta hoped for when they acquired him from Houston and it’s clear why he was the odd man out of the Astros rotation. His ERA has ballooned up to 4.53 and the Braves are 3-6 in his nine starts since being acquired.
I tend to lean towards Miami as an underdog tonight, but with how bad their offense is, they have a team OPS under .600 over the past week, the under is by far the best play.
Pick: Under 7.5 (+100)
Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE