Top NFL Picks and Predictions Today (Expect Points in Philly, Titans Upset and More in Week 4)
Week 4 of the NFL season brings us several intriguing matchups, and our team has some picks for divisional contests between the Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts as well as the Las Vegas Raiders and Denver Broncos.
There aren't a ton of games with wide spreads, especially in Sunday night's primetime matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. With that in mind, here are some of our team's favorite plays on Sunday:
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds, Prediction and Pick
Earlier in the week I had a wait-and-see mindset about this game, because I really don’t know what Jacksonville is to this point. Yes, the Jags beat the Chargers 38-10, but Justin Herbert played hurt and it showed, Rashawn Slater was lost for the season and Joey Bosa went out of the game as well. Maybe it was just a perfect storm and the Jags are not as for real as it looked.
I try not to overreact early in the season and that typically is the best strategy, but I feel like either side of this bet is an overreaction. Yes, the Eagles are 3-0, but now they are the favorite to win the NFC and I think that is a bit aggressive after just three wins. On the other hand, the Jaguars are 2-1 and a hot team that some people are penciling into the playoffs already.
The Eagles are 3-0, but have beaten the Lions, Kirk Cousins in primetime, and the Commanders. That isn’t really murderers row to start the season. I loved what I saw from the Jaguars last week and Trevor Lawrence looks like he will be one of the very best quarterbacks in the NFL sooner rather than later. If I could still get the full seven I’d like the Jaguars and the points, but I leaned over earlier in the week and the total went down so let’s just go back to that well.
Pick: OVER 45.5 (-110)
Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts Odds, Prediction and Pick
I’m not putting much stock into the Colts win over the Chiefs and still see them as a struggling team.
Indianapolis is dead last in points and yards per game, while also ranking just outside the bottom five in yards per play. Jonathan Taylor and Matt Ryan haven’t had the start the Colts need, and that has put them in a terrible position.
Tennessee saw a little bit of success against the Raiders, and I think that’s enough to jumpstart it for this game. The Titans have beaten the Colts in four of their last five matchups. With a passing offense that is top seven in yards per pass, Tennessee will be able to hit on just a couple of big plays to get the game.
Don’t expect much from Indy’s offense, and expect Mike Vrabel to continue to own the Colts in this series.
Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds, Prediction and Pick
Earlier this week, I bet on Denver and Vegas to go UNDER the total of 45.5, and I’m sticking with that prediction. I also think the Broncos can upset Vegas, and picked them as my upset pick of the week.
Will Nathaniel Hackett and Russell Wilson let me down?
They may not matter, as Denver’s defense has been one of the best units in the NFL this season. The Broncos currently rank second in points allowed, third in total yards allowed and sixth in opponent yards per play.
When you couple that dominance with a team that has scored just 43 points this season, you have a perfect recipe for UNDERs. The UNDER has hit in each of the Broncos’ games this season, and I think they can slow down this Vegas offense that has beat itself with turnovers all season long.