Top WNBA Picks and Predictions Today (Mystics To Clamp Down Mercury, Expect Tight Storm-Lynx Game)

Ben Heisler and Donnavan Smoot are back to give you their best bets of tonight’s WNBA slate. 

Ben Heisler held the team down this weekend and went 1-1, keeping our record above .500. Tonight, the Mercury and Mystics will play their second game in three days and the Storm and Lynx will look to improve their sub-standard ATS records. Each of these games have noticeable gaps on the spread, but that doesn't mean you have to stay away from these games.

Let’s get into our picks for the night. 

Best WNBA Prop Bets Record to Date

• WNBA Best Bets Record: 24-19

Here are the plays our team is eyeing for tonight’s slate with odds coming from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Top WNBA Picks For June 14

• Mercury +7.5 (-110) vs. Mystics
• Mercury/Mystics UNDER 164.5 (-110)
• Storm vs. Lynx UNDER 158 (-110)
• Lynx +8 vs. Storm (-110)

Mercury vs. Mystics Best Bets

Mercury +7.5 (-110) vs. Mystics

I bet the Mercury on Sunday at +8 on the road, and they not only covered, but won by 9 in overtime against Washington.

They’re back again for a rematch in D.C., and the line is only a half-point lower than from two days ago.

Phoenix is playing like a different team than the 2-8 squad that looked lost to begin the ear. They’re 3-2 over their last five, and both of those losses were by just a few points against two of the top three teams in the league in Connecticut and Chicago.

Over each team’s last five games, the Mercury have a higher net rating than Washington, as well as a higher offensive and defensive rating as well. Considering Phoenix entered Sunday’s game ranked dead-last in opponent points per 100 possessions, that should give you an indication of some of the issues Washington has had of late.

Elena Delle Donne didn’t play again on Sunday as she’s dealing with lower back tightness. The Mystics star is listed as probable for Tuesday night, but even if she’s back and healthy, the Mercury at this point of the season are hanging with everyone.

Perhaps I’m walking into a trap and recency bias is coming into form, but the numbers also back up Phoenix here. Unless they lay an egg, there’s no reason they should be this big of an underdog after proving themselves in this same building a few days ago. – Ben Heisler

Mercury/Mystics UNDER 164.5 (-110)

These teams played against each other just two days ago in an overtime thriller, with the Mercury coming out on top 99-90. That game favored the Mercury with its fast pace. However, in this series-like game, the Mystics are in a perfect position to make adjustments and make the game fit their style. 

Washington plays at the slowest pace in the league, leading them to hit the UNDER more often than not. The Mystics have hit the UNDER in 11 of their 15 games this season. On top of the slow pace, Washington’s defense is fantastic. The Mystics are third in the league in defensive rating. If Washington can control this game early, expect a close, slow-paced game. – Donnavan Smoot

Storm vs. Lynx Best Bets

Storm vs. Lynx UNDER 158 (-110)

The Storm should cruise to victory against a Lynx squad that’s dealing with all sorts of injuries at the moment, but Seattle has been a maddening team to bet on this year. With the line already shifting a point and a half in their favor since opening at -6 on the road, I’ll focus on the total instead and back the under.

Seattle is now second in the league in opponent points per 100 possessions, as well as opponent points per play. They also have the second best defensive rating in the entire league behind only the Atlanta Dream.

Offensively, they rank 8th in both pace, as well as points per 100 possessions, so even if they get hot, it’s unlikely to be enough to push past the projected total.

Minnesota, meanwhile, just can’t seem to score of late; putting up an average of 69.3 PPG over their last three. They also won’t have leading scorer and rebounder Sylvia Fowles available; along with Kayla McBride, Natalie Achonwa and Napheesa Collier.

Perhaps the Lynx hang tough, but if they do, it’s because the Storm miss a bunch of shots, leading towards the under regardless. – Ben Heisler

Lynx +8 vs. Storm (-110)

The Minnesota Lynx have been my unofficial team this season. I’ve bet on them many times, but have been burned by them lately. Nevertheless, I’ve made the decision to go down with the ship. Yet, they will be able to tread water and avoid a blowout tonight against the Storm. Seattle is clearly the better team, but it has issues covering sizable spreads. The Storm are 2-4 ATS this year as a 5-point favorite or larger. Minnesota, on the other hand, is 2-1 in games where it’s more than a 5-point favorite. Seattle doesn’t blow teams out, and Minnesota will have a little success tonight. – Donnavan Smoot