Betsided

Top WNBA Picks and Predictions Today (We've Got Thursday Buckets to Bet on Morning, Afternoon and Night)

By Ben Heisler, Donnavan Smoot, Peter Dewey

The Washington Mystics look to win their fourth game in five matchups when they host the New York Liberty at 11:30 am ET on Thursday.
The Washington Mystics look to win their fourth game in five matchups when they host the New York Liberty at 11:30 am ET on Thursday. / Washington Mystics
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We have three WNBA games sprinkled throughout this Thursday, starting with yet another morning tip-off on the east coast when the Washington Mystics host the New York Liberty at 11:30 a.m. EST.

After sizzling into the All-Star break, the Liberty have lost four in a row and find themselves as a near double-digit underdog on the road. Meanwhile, one of the coldest teams at the break, the Atlanta Dream just stomped the WNBA title favorites in the Las Vegas Aces on the road the other night, and look to stay hot on the road in Los Angeles vs. the Sparks.

The late game matches up the worst team in the league, the Indiana Fever against the aforementioned Aces who look for a bounce back as a sizable home favorite.

 Before we dive into our team's best bets, let's first check out every matchup's odds via WynnBET Sportsbook.

Best WNBA Bets Record to Date

WNBA Odds, Spread and Totals for Every Game (Thursday, July 21)

New York Liberty vs. Washington Mystics

  • Spread: Liberty +8 (-110) | Mystics -8 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Liberty +300 | Mystics -380
  • Total: 159 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks

  • Spread: Dream +1.5 (-110) | Sparks -1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Dream +105 | Sparks -125
  • Total: 160 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces

  • Spread: Fever +17 (-110) | Aces -17 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Fever +1000 | Aces -2000
  • Total: 174.5 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

WNBA Best Bets For Thursday, July 21

Liberty vs. Mystics

I backed New York as 8.5-point road underdogs against its tri-state rival on Tuesday morning, and while they entered the fourth quarter down just three with the Connecticut Sun missing their best player in Jonquel Jones, they still outscored the LIberty 29-13 in the fourth.

Not ideal for your boy.

This time around, I'll back the under instead of a side. After getting boat-raced in its last few games vs. the Aces' elite offense, New York's defense was much-improved, which should come into play against a Mystics team that won't give them much on the offensive end. Washington ranks second in the WNBA in defensive rating while playing at the slowest pace in the league. New York also plays slow, coming in at second-to-last in pace as well.

It's a slow-paced, morning tip in D.C. There's not much reason to feel like we'll see plenty of points in this one. -- Ben Heisler

PICK: UNDER 159 (-110)

Dream vs. Sparks

The Dream are coming off a wildly impressive against the Las Vegas Aces and look to follow it up with another win against the Sparks.

Atlanta won the first matchup between these teams 77-75, but that was back in May. The Dream have won two in a row, but that doesn’t mean I’m taking them today.I’m backing the Sparks today, as I think they’ll end up winning a shootout.

The Sparks and Dream both play in the top 4 in the league in pace – which means that efficiency is going to be key to winning by several possessions. Los Angeles, while not great on offense, still is 5.1 points per 100 possessions better than the Dream.

If the Sparks can avoid getting bogged down by the Dream’s top 5 offense early, expect for them to keep the points coming all night. -- Donnavan Smoot

PICK: Sparks -1.5 (-110)

Fever vs. Aces

The Fever are just terrible, posting a net rating of negative-12.2 per 100 possessions and ranking dead last in both offensive and defensive rating.

The reason I'm hesitant to back Vegas is I could see the Aces getting out to a big lead and coasting the rest of the way by sitting some of their top players. 

For that reason, I’m going to back the OVER in this matchup instead. Despite eight of Indiana’s last 10 games going UNDER this number, they haven’t faced an offense like the one they will tonight. 

Vegas is No. 1 in the league in offensive rating and scored over 100 points in four of its last six games. Even though the Fever are dead-last in offense, they are second in pace behind the Aces.

If this game turns into a track meet, Las Vegas will get buckets whenever it wants. Also, both of these teams have been better OVER teams on the season. Indiana is 16-12 on OVERs while Vegas is 15-10-1. -- Peter Dewey

LEAN: OVER 174.5 (-110)

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