U.S. Open Power Rankings Based on Odds (Rory McIlroy Leads Field at Brookline)

Rory McIlroy's game is trending in the right direction ahead of US Open.
Rory McIlroy's game is trending in the right direction ahead of US Open. / Vaughn Ridley/GettyImages
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The U.S. Open is set to take place at The Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts,

As we start to look at which golfers to wager on, it's hard not to consider Rory McIlroy; playing some of the best golf on the PGA Tour right now. He was on fire during the Canadian Open, and can carry that momentum into the U.S. Open.

In this article, I'll give my top 20 power rankings heading into the U.S. Open. Odds will be included, but my rankings are based on how their style fits the course, as well as their recent form.

This will be a great tool for those of you looking to enter golf pools and DFS lineups this week.

All odds listed below are via WynnBET Sportsbook.

U.S. Open Power Rankings

1. Rory McIlroy (+1400)

Not only is Rory's performance at the Canadian Open boosting his stock this week, but his style of play always fits well at U.S. Opens. He ranks third in strokes gained: off-the-tee, which is paramount if you want to win this event. Let's not forget, he has three-straight top 10 finishes at the U.S. Open.

2. Jon Rahm (+1200)

There's a reason why Rahm's only Major win is at a U.S. Open. Nobody is better off the tee than the reigning champion, and there's no event where that's more important than the U.S. Open. Rahm also leads the Tour in strokes gained: off-the-tee. He struggled with his putter and with his chipping early in the season, but has corrected that over his last four starts.

3. Justin Thomas (+1400)

Justin Thomas has also been playing some fantastic golf of late, and went head-to-head with Rory McIlroy in the final round of the Canadian Open. He enters as the PGA Champion, and he's long enough off the tee to compete at the U.S. Open this week.

4. Matt Fitzpatrick (+2500)

I might be stretching here a little bit, but Fitzpatrick ranks first on Tour this season in total strokes gained, and he ranks 11th in strokes gained: off-the-tee. Not only that, but he won the U.S. Amateur at the Country Club back in 2013. It's almost a decade ago now, but he'll have that little bit of confidence and course knowledge that other golfers won't.

5. Scottie Scheffler (+1200)

It's tough to argue too much against the No. 1 ranked golfer in the world, but his 63rd ranking in strokes gained: off-the-tee, is slightly concerning. Despite missing the cut at the PGA Championship, he's coming off a second place finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge, so he could be ready to capture his second Major of the year.

6. Will Zalatoris (+2500)

Will Zalatoris has gone on record stating that his favorite courses are the tracks that are long and challenging. Sounds like a U.S. Open type of course to me. Considering he finished 2nd in a playoff at the event at Torrey Pines this year, which was the host of last year's U.S. Open, that holds up. He has two second place finishes, and five overall top 10 finishes at Majors in his young career.

7. Patrick Cantlay (+2500)

Patrick Cantlay hasn't had a ton of success at Majors throughout his career, but he's finished in the top 3 in three of his last four starts, including a win at the Zurich Classic. He also ranks 16th in strokes gained: off-the-tee.

8. Jordan Spieth (+2500)

Jordan Spieth's game has rolled nicely in the past couple of months, and the results reflect that fact. He has three top 10s in his last five starts, and he has the distance off the tee to compete at the U.S. Open, a Major he's already won once before.

9. Xander Schauffele (+2000)

Xander Schauffele could be a sneaky pick this week, as his game is trending in the right direction. He's finished in the top 20 in four straight starts, including a win alongside Cantlay at the Zurich Classic. He's great off the tee, which gives him a leg up on the majority of the field.

10. Cameron Smith (+1500)

Cameron Smith has been too good this season to not include him in the top 10, but he's play off the tee is concerning. He ranks 123rd in strokes gained: off-the-tee, which will hurt him at the U.S. Open if he doesn't improve in this area. The fact that his best finish at a U.S. Open is T38, reflects that fact.

11. Sam Burns (+3000)

It's about time that we respect Sam Burns. The 25-year old already has three wins on the PGA Tour, and four wins in his career. He's rightfully the No. 9 ranked golfer in the world, and the next step in his career would be to win a Major. His T59 in strokes gained: off-the-tee is a slight concern.

12. Joaquin Niemann (+3000)

I bet you wouldn't believe that Joaquin Niemann is 11th on Tour this season in total strokes gained. Not only that, but he's 13th in strokes gained: off-the-tee, and has shown flashes of greatness at Majors. If he gets his flat stick going this week, he could contend.

13. Collin Morikawa (+2000)

I can't completely leave Collin Morikawa off this list, but I can't recommend betting on him due to his recent form. He hasn't finished better than T26 since the Masters in April, and comes off a rare missed cut at the Memorial.

14. Hideki Matsuyama (+4000)

The 2021 Masters champion is one of the best drivers and ball strikers on Tour. As is usual the case for Matsuyama, if he can dial in his short game, he'll be in contention.

15. Cameron Young (+4000)

Cameron Young burst onto the scene for more casual fans at the PGA Championship when he played in the final group on Sunday, but he's quietly been one of the top golfers on Tour this year. He ranks second on PGA Tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green, so he's set up to compete at another major this week.

16. Billy Horschel (+5000)

Billy Horschel took down a stacked field at the Memorial Tournament, and will be entering the U.S. Open with a ton of confidence. He's solid off the tee, can hit greens, and has a fantastic short game. He's one of the better dark horses you'll find this week.

17. Viktor Hovland (+3000)

Viktor Hovland is fantastic in every aspect of his game... except for chipping. He's an abysmal 204th on Tour in strokes gained: around the green. It's going to be tough to win a Major with those chipping numbers, but it's hard to completely discount him based on how good he is at everything else.

18. Max Homa (+5000)

Max Homa, despite having two wins on the year, continues to be one of the more underrated golfers on Tour. His next career step is to win a Major, and he could pull it off this week. He ranks 27th in strokes gained: off-the-tee, and 18th in approach. Those are some pretty solid numbers.

19. Corey Conners (+6000)

Canada is still seeking its second major victory, and Corey Conners has given them plenty of chances the past couple of seasons. He ranks 8th in strokes gained: off-the-tee this week, giving him a huge advantage.

20. Shane Lowry (+3000)

Shane Lowry has played some fantastic golf as of late, and he's already proven that he knows what it takes to win a Major Tournament. Ranking 11th in approach, and 14th in putting, is a pretty good recipe to win any time he tees off.


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You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.