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Wild Card Weekend Betting Cheat Sheet: 49ers vs. Cowboys

By Reed Wallach

Nov 25, 2021; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) in action
Nov 25, 2021; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) in action / Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
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In the game with the smallest spread of NFL Super Wild Card Weekend, the Dallas Cowboys host the San Francisco 49ers.

We have a ton of betting content around this game including prop bets and game preview, but here is a quick cheat sheet for you to get set for the game of the weekend.

49ers vs. Cowboys Info for Spread Bettors

  • The Cowboys are 3-point favorites at WynnBET Sportsbook
  • Mike McCarthy is 11-6-1 against the spread (ATS) in the postseason for his career
  • Kyle Shanahan is 2-1 ATS in the postseason for his career
  • Dak Prescott is 0-3 ATS in the postseason for his career
  • Jimmy Garoppolo is 2-1 ATS in the postseason for his career
  • The Cowboys are a league best 13-4 ATS this season
  • The 49ers are 2-1 ATS as underdogs this season

49ers vs. Cowboys Info for Moneyline Bettors

  • The Cowboys are -170 on the moneyline to win (risk $170 to win 100)
  • Dak Prescott has never won a postseason game
  • Dallas is 5-3 straight up (SU) at home
  • San Francisco is 6-3 on the road this season

49ers vs. Cowboys Info for Over/Under Bettors

  • The total is set at 51 at WynnBET (Over -110/Under -110)
  • This is the highest total of the weekend
  • Both the Cowboys and 49ers are 8-9 to the OVER this season
  • San Francisco has gone OVER in 1 of 3 games as underdogs this season
  • Dallas is 5-3 to the OVER at home this season

Verdict

The line in this game feels correct with the 49ers as short underdogs, but I believe they are live for an upset. With Trent Williams on track to play for this one, San Francisco is going to establish the run and keep the Dallas offense on the sidelines.

While Dak Prescott has the accolades this season, he has been significantly worse than Jimmy Garoppolo since returning from his calf strain. Since Week 9, the Dallas signal caller is outside the top 10 in adjusted EPA/Play per RBSDM.com while Garoppolo is third, behind only Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow.

The Cowboys defense is also primed for some negative regression after leading the league in turnover margin this season, +14. While Garoppolo is prone to his own mistakes, I believe that Shanahan is going to look to establish the run and use Deebo Samuel in exotic play calls to maintain possession.

PICK: 49ers ML +140

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