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Wild Card Weekend Betting Cheat Sheet: Raiders vs. Bengals

By Brian Giuffra

Be a smarter bettor.
Be a smarter bettor. / Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
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"Give it to me straight doc, who's should I bet on for the Raiders-Bengals game?"

"I'm sorry sir, but I'm not qualified to answer that question."

Am I saying I'm smarter than a doctor? Yes, when it comes to betting, I'm smarter than most doctors.

Even better, unlike that scribble-scrabble they jot down on prescription pads, I'm going to break down the Raiders-Bengals game in an easily-digestable format.

Let's start with the basics.

Raiders vs. Bengals Info for Spread Bettors

  • The Bengals are currently -5.5 point favorites at WynnBET
  • The Bengals opened as -6.5 point favorites, signaling early bets came in on the Raiders
  • Cincinnati was 2-3 against the spread (ATS) as home favorites this season
  • Las Vegas was 4-2 ATS as away underdogs this season
  • The Raiders are 3-1 ATS in their last four games
  • Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. Raiders
  • Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games this season

Raiders vs. Bengals Info for Moneyline Bettors

  • The Raiders are +195 on the moneyline (bet $100 to win $195)
  • The Bengals are -240 on the moneyline (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Derek Carr is 1-5 straight up in games with sub 40 degree temperature (temperature at kickoff is expected to be 27 degrees and going down)
  • The Raiders have won three straight games as underdogs
  • The Bengals went 5-4 at home this season and 3-2 as home favorites
  • The Raiders went 5-3 on the road and 4-2 as road underdogs
  • The Bengals won their last two games at home this season

Raiders vs. Bengals Info for Over/Under Bettors

  • The Over/Under for this game is 49 points (Over -110/Under -110)
  • That number has not changed since it opened there
  • The UNDER is 4-2 in the Raiders' last six games
  • The UNDER is 3-3 in the Bengals last six games
  • The OVER hit in 66% of the Bengals home games this season
  • The OVER hit in 37.5% of the Raiders away games this season

Raiders vs. Bengals Info for ALL Bettors

  • This is the first playoff start for quarterbacks Joe Burrow and Derek Carr
  • The Raiders rank sixth in opponent yards per pass attempt, allowing opponents to gain 6.3 yards per pass
  • The Bengals defense is 21st in opponent yards per pass attempt, allowing an average of 6.7
  • The Bengals have lost eight straight playoff games. Their last playoff win was against the Raiders.
  • Joe Burrow is 6-0 in must-win games dating back to LSU
  • He's thrown for 2,669 yards (444/game), 27 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in those games
  • The Raiders are the worst team in the NFL in red zone scoring defense, allowing teams to score TDs 81.4% of the time
  • The Bengals score the third-most TDs per game in the NFL (3.2)
  • The Raiders average 7.3 yards per pass, sixth-best in the NFL
  • The Bengals give up 6.7 yards per pass, 21st in the NFL

Verdict

BetSided expert Iain MacMillan is backing the Raiders to pull the upset here, and explained why in an article posted earlier this week.

I'm going the opposite way and siding with the Bengals. The Raiders have had a storybook run and made it to the playoffs despite as challenging a season as any team has gone through. They won four straight to keep their playoff hopes alive and got a little bit of luck from the teams above them to make the playoffs.

Eventually that adrenaline runs out, and I think this is when that happens.

PICK: Bengals -5.5 (-110)

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