Wild Wagering Trends for the 2021-22 College Football Playoff

Alabama Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban is 8-3 straight up in the College Football Playoff, which first began in 2015.
Alabama Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban is 8-3 straight up in the College Football Playoff, which first began in 2015. / Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
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BetSided has you covered for every part of the 2021-22 College Football Playoff, from keys to the semifinal matchups, to a full betting guide for both Alabama vs. Cincinnati, Georgia vs. Michigan, and the latest up-to-date betting splits directly from the oddsmakers (coming Friday) to help you make your wagers ahead of kickoff.

Since it's inception during the 2014-15 season, there have been several unique notes regarding the matchups that have been a helpful tool for bettors to use as a guide for wagers as the games get set. For example, Alabama has always been known as a defensive powerhouse under Nick Saban, but in 15 bowl games with the Crimson Tide, the over has gone 11-4 via ESPN Chalk.

Here are three other eye-opening betting trends worth sharing ahead of Friday's College Football Playoff semifinals. All odds are courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

A No. 4 Seed Has Never Lost in the National Championship Game, A No. 3 Seed Has Never Won the National Championship Game.

Assuming the No. 4 seeded Bearcats can get past Alabama, history indicates they'd be sitting pretty when it comes to their chances to win a National Championship. 4-seeds in the history of the CFB Playoff are 2-0 in the final game.

Meanwhile, Georgia would have to be the first No. 3 seed in College Football Playoff history to get that illustrious championship; having gone 0-3 so far. The good news for the Bulldogs is they may be the most dominant 3-seed in the playoff's history; having been ranked No. 1 since Week 2 of the season up until their loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship.

Here's how every seed has fared in both the CFB semifinals, as well as in the final game.

  • #1 SEED: 5-2 in Playoff Semifinals | 2-3 in National Championship
  • #2 SEED: 4-3 in Playoff Semifinals | 3-1 in National Championship
  • #3 SEED: 3-4 in Playoff Semifinals | 0-3 in National Championship
  • #4 SEED: 2-5 in Playoff Semifinals | 2-0 in National Championship

Favorites, Unders are Both 8-6 ATS in CFB Playoff Semifinal History

The 2020 season was the first time in College Football Semifinal Playoff history where two underdogs both covered, one of them being an outright win as No. 3 Ohio State shocked No. 2 Clemson 49-28 as a 7-point underdog.

Alabama, despite a 31-14 victory, failed to cover as a 19-point favorite.

Meanwhile, it's been four seasons since both games each went "over," or "under" in the semifinals. Since 2016-17, every semifinal game has gone both ways on the total. In the playoff's first season, the overs both hit, with unders going 4-0 from 2015-2017.

Longshots Over 28/1 Have Yet to Win a College Football Playoff Game (Final or Semifinal)

No. 2 Michigan and No. 4 Cincinnati are the highest longshots to ever reach the final four of the College Football Playoff. Both teams were as long as 100/1 over at WynnBET to win it all during the course of the season, with the Bearcats opening at 200/1 odds at WynnBET!

However, the history of the tournament suggests that both the Wolverines and Bearcats could be in line to be eliminated early, as no longshot longer than 28/1 (Notre Dame in 2020) has ever won straight up in either the semifinals, or the championship game.

According to ESPN, all five teams of odds of 28/1 or greater: Notre Dame (2018, 2020), Oklahoma (2015), Washington (2016), and Clemson (2017) have never won in the College Football Playoff, losing each time in the semifinals round.

A win for either Michigan (+250), or Cincinnati (+375) would be of major significance as the largest futures play to make it to the National Championship since the College Football Playoff was first created.