Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction and Odds for ALDS Game 4 (Cleveland Closes Out Series on Sunday)

Cleveland Guardians third baseman Jose Ramirez.
Cleveland Guardians third baseman Jose Ramirez. / Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Guardians are one win away from advancing to the ALCS after erasing a 5-3 deficit in the ninth inning Saturday night to walk off against the New York Yankees. 

Cleveland had 15 hits in the win, and the team’s bullpen will be rested for Game 4, something the Yankees cannot say. New York has used Jonathan Loaisiga and Wandy Peralta in every game in this series, and Clarke Schmidt, who allowed the game-winning hit, has now pitched in back-to-back games. 

For some reason, Aaron Boone didn’t turn to closer Clay Holmes in Game 3, and it came back to bite New York. 

New York sends ace Gerrit Cole (13-8, 3.50 ERA), who started the team’s Game 1 win, on Sunday. He faces Guardians’ Game 1 starter Cal Quantrill (15-5, 3.38 ERA). 

Do the Yankees force a winner-take-all Game 5? Or does Cleveland continue to come up with timely hits and advance to face the Houston Astros in the ALCS? 

Here are the latest odds for Game 4: 

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line and Total

Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction and Pick

Even with Cole on the mound in this game, I don’t trust the Yankees in multiple aspects to pull off a road win in Game 4. 

The Yankees have not looked good at the plate, with their top six hitters in the lineup going 1-for-23 in Game 3 (Aaron Judge’s two-run homer was the only hit). 

Cleveland, on the other hand, has come up with several timely hits, and the team continues to put the ball in play and force the Yankees into mistakes on defense. As for the bullpens, the Guardians should have closer Emmanuel Clase ready to go after he closed out Game 2, and the Yankees are probably without Loaisiga and Peralta, their two best middle relievers. 

Cole is going to need to shove in this game for New York, but his home run issues lately give me some serious worries about how this game could pan out. Cleveland let Quantrill pitch too long into Game 1, but I doubt Terry Francona makes the same mistake in Game 4 with a chance to win the series. 

Unless New York finds a way to score without hitting a home run, this team is too volatile to trust on the road. Give me the Guardians to close things out in Game 4. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.