The NFL's "Game of the Week" is not in prime time, but rather in the late afternoon slate as the Kansas City Chiefs host the Dallas Cowboys as 2.5-point home favorites.
The line opened up with KC -1.5 earlier in the week, but sharp money got in on the Chiefs; moving the line up to just under a field goal. Despite 58.7% of the bets on the Cowboys' side, 62.8% of the money has come in on Kansas City.
For even more on this matchup, our Reed Wallach has everything bettors need to know.
With the highest total of the slate set at 56 points, there's plenty of interest in player props for this matchup. Here are my three favorites available at WynnBET Sportsbook.
Best Prop Bets for Cowboys vs. Chiefs
- Tony Pollard OVER 33.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
- Dak Prescott OVER 24.5 Passing Completions (-135)
- Patrick Mahomes UNDER 19.5 Total Rushing Yards (-115)
Tony Pollard OVER 33.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
The bet I really like is Pollard's OVER on receiving yards today, but since WynnBET does not have that number available, I don't mind gravitating to his rushing total as well.
Pollard faces a Chiefs defense that while improved, is still amongst the worst run defenses in the league at slowing down the run. He's averaging 5.4 yards per carry and is projected for 8.5 rushing attempts in this week's matchup. Even if he only gets seven (on the low side of 7-10 for the 8.5 projection), that's still 37.8 yards based on his season-long average.
Pollard also may be in during two minute drill and other passing situations where a draw play could go for big yards. Pollard's a sneaky play for a very good game both on the ground and through the air.
Dak Prescott OVER 24.5 Passing Completions (-135)
Wind may not be a major factor at Arrowhead Stadium today, but reports are that gusts could get upwards of 20 mph. Prescott is already a fairly efficient quarterback; completing 70.3% of his passes; averaging 292.6 per game.
While Prescott is already completing an average of 25 passes per game, I could see a scenario in which the wind forces more underneath plays to his running backs and wide receivers underneath, taking less deep chances where the wind could play a role.
The Chiefs are only allowing 22.5 passing completions per game, but they haven't faced the No. 1 offense in the NFL like Dallas. With weather and the highest total on the board, I love the over here.
Patrick Mahomes UNDER 19.5 Total Rushing Yards (-115)
After running around for an average of 39.6 yards between Weeks 3-7, Mahomes has looked to settle in the pocket the previous three weeks, only running five times for eight yards in three games combined.
Mahomes' best game of the season last week came with no rushing attempts, using his vision downfield and escapability in the pocket to hit his receivers deep. Remember, the Raiders and Cowboys play a lot of Cover 1 defense, which Mahomes had had his best games against in the past. With no need to run, this number still feels too inflated from the run in the early portion of the season.