Barbasol Championship Prediction and Odds (Gotterup, Hadley, & Buckley With Value)

Christopher Gotterup already has two top-10 finishes in his first five PGA Tour events
Christopher Gotterup already has two top-10 finishes in his first five PGA Tour events / Dylan Buell/GettyImages

While most of the top PGA Tour players are in Scotland for the Genesis Scottish Open this week, we've still got a ton of value to find over at the Barbasol Championship at Keene Trace Golf Club in Kentucky.

The BetSided team has been rolling lately, with Iain MacMillan nailing Matt Fitzpatrick at the U.S Open before we hit Xander Schauffele at the Travelers Championship and J.T. Poston at the John Deere Classic.

You can check out my preview of the Scottish Open here, but it's time to dive into the Barbasol Championship and keep the dollars flowing. Before we get into the key stats and my favorite picks, let's check out the odds leaderboard from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Odds to Win the 2022 Barbasol Championship

  • Christopher Gotterup: +2000
  • Kevin Streelman: +2200
  • Adam Svensson: +2500
  • Mark Hubbard: +2500
  • Taylor Pendrith: +2500
  • Chesson Hadley: +2800
  • Patton Kizzire: +2800
  • Austin Smotherman: +3300
  • Hank Lebioda: +3300
  • John Huh: +3300

How to Handicap the Barbasol Championship

Keene Trace Golf Club is a huge, 7,328 yard par 72 course with 76 bunkers, dangerous water lurking and huge greens.

The fairways are wide but lined with trees, so you'll need an accurate baseline though you don't need to be the most accurate driver in the field to compete. Scrambling and sand saves will be critical with all of the bunkers, but traditionally this is one of the easiest courses on tour.

Just like at the John Deere Classic last week, we need golfers who can go low. Seamus Power won last year with a 21-under par score, and we've seen similar scoring from winners Jim Herman (-26), Troy Merritt (-23), and Grayson Murray (-21).

I'm looking to back players who are strong off the tee but even stronger with their irons. Though if you can't convert birdies, you've got no chance.

With none of the top Tour players in the field, there's ample opportunity for someone down the leaderboard to catch fire and give us a huge payday.

Key Stats for the Barbasol Championship

  • Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green
  • Birdie or Better Percentage
  • Scrambling
  • Sand Save Percentage
  • Greens in Regulation
  • Approach from 175-200

Picks to Win the 2022 Barbasol Championship

Christopher Gotterup (+2000)

It's rare the betting favorite at a PGA Tour event is an individual with just a handful of professional tournaments on his resume, but Christopher Gotterup is no normal golfer. Having won both the Haskins Award and Jack Nicklaus Award as the top collegiate player, Gotterup is off to a flaming hot start on Tour with two top-10 finishes in his first five events.

Gotterup gained an impressive 2.92 Strokes: Total on the field at the John Deere Classic en route to a T4 finish. He's a name you're going to want to get familiar with, because is first win is coming soon.

At a long course like Keene Trace, Gotterup's long drives will put him in position to capitalize on his strong approach game. I'll be stunned if he's not in contention.

Chesson Hadley (+2800)

Hadley's game is trending up at the perfect time to take down a relatively weak field. He followed up a fifth place finish at the Travelers with a T10 at the John Deere Classic and can make birdies or eagles from anywhere.

One of the best scramblers on Tour, Hadley has dialed in the rest of his game lately. He was fourth in Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green and eighth in putting at the Travelers, then was third in Strokes Gained: Approach and 10th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green at the John Deere Classic.

This is a perfect tournament to put all the pieces of his game together at once, which is exactly what I'm looking for at +2800 odds.

Hayden Buckley (+4000)

Going a bit farther down the board, I really like Buckley's chances this week. He's second on Tour in Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee in his last 24 rounds, showcasing impressive distance while maintaining accuracy.

Buckley is 16th in Greens in Regulation and excels at long approach shots, giving him the perfect profile for the Barbasol. Having gained strokes on the field in three straight events and improving with the putter after making an equipment change, Buckley is ready to break through.

He took T14 at the U.S. Open and made the cut at both the Travelers and John Deere Classic. With a weak field, +4000 odds make for a lovely wager on a guy trending in the right direction with a game that fits the course.

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.