Best MLB Bets for World Series Game 4 (November 2)

Game 4 of the World Series takes place on Wednesday night, and the BetSided team has you covered with some of the best plays for tonight’s action. 

After winning Game 3 on Tuesday night, the Philadelphia Phillies have a 2-1 lead in the series. However, our guy Ben Heisler thinks the best play on this game may be on the total. 

Plus, Peter Dewey has a player prop pick that Phillies fans are going to adore at Citizens Bank Park. 

Let’s break down the top plays for this matchup: 

Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Best Bet

• Pick: OVER 7.5 (+100)

I'm backing the over at 7.5, especially with even odds as of this morning.

The Phillies were a run away from hitting the total by themselves yesterday, but over 8 bettors got no help from the Astros last night in the shutout loss. It would be fairly remarkable if the Phillies can limit the Astros to zero runs again, but it did happen once this season back on September 22-23 when the Baltimore Orioles outscored the Astros 0-8 in two consecutive games.

Meanwhile, there are a few noticeable trends to take note of as to why we could see more runs from both sides tonight.

Astros pitcher Cristian Javier has looked solid during the postseason, but only has one start the entire playoffs; going 6.2 innings over two games. His ERA is impressive at 1.35, but his peripherals hint that he could regress relatively soon with a 4.31 Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP), and 4.36 expected FIP (xFIP).

As for Phillies starter Aaron Nola, he's been two different pitchers during the playoffs. After not allowing a run in his first two starts, he's given up 11 earned runs in his last two games, including four home runs over his last 9 innings pitched.

Even if Nola gets back on track, the Phillies' bullpen, despite terrific postseason numbers, had plenty of issues during the regular season, ranking 22nd out of 30 in bullpen ERA, and 28th in walks/nine innings.

Rather than take a side in Game 4, I'll play the over as both offenses go back and forth this evening. – Ben Heisler

Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies Best Prop Bet Pick

Bryce Harper OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Let’s all do ourselves a favor and jump on the wagon that is Bryce Harper right now and back him to clear 1.5 bases at plus money. 

Harper is 3-for-12 in the World Series with a home run, and he’s cleared this line in two of the three games in the series. He’s never faced Javier in his career, but I’m not going to fade Harper when he’s having one of the best postseasons of all time. 

At plus money, this is one of my favorite bets to make on the board. – Peter Dewey

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.