Best MLB Parlay Picks Today (Underdog Cardinals & Three Totals Join Forces)
By Joe Summers
As we gear up for a stellar nine-game slate of holiday baseball, there's one thought permeating my mind at every turn: "it's time for a parlay."
There's never a better day than today to cash a huge MLB parlay, and after diving into the BetSided team's previews for the games I'm ready to rock and roll.
Using the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook, here are my favorite MLB parlay picks of the day:
Best MLB Parlay Picks Today
Blue Jays vs White Sox Over 9.0 (-105)
The over is 6-1 in Toronto's last seven games and 7-2-1 in Chicago's previous 10 as both lineups are surging and each pitching staff is disappointing. With a questionable pitching matchup today, I see the over hitting once again.
Jose Berríos looks great this month, compiling a 2.45 ERA in three starts, but has a 5.97 ERA on the road and Chicago has a history of success against him. In six starts over the last two years, Berrios has a 5.00 ERA against the White Sox and gave up nine runs over his last nine innings. The over has hit in five straight games he's started and is 9-3-1 when he pitches this season.
Berrios throws a fastball, curveball, sinker and changeup. Chicago struggles against fastballs but curveballs, sinkers, and changeups are three of the pitches their lineup hits well, per MLB Statcast's Run Value. The White Sox are heating up too, ranking sixth in OPS over the last two weeks.
Yet Toronto has been even better, with third-highest OPS in that span. I agree with Josh Yourish that Lance Lynn didn't look good in his season debut last week, and that was against the pathetic Tigers.
Neither club has a strong defense and each bullpen ranks in the bottom-four in ERA in the American League. All of these factors make the over the play.
Cardinals (+157) vs Brewers
Oh hey, I agree with Josh again. This is just too big of a number for Miles Mikolas and the Cardinals. They're sixth in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last two weeks and Paul Goldschmidt might be the best hitter in MLB right now.
Corbin Burnes hasn't looked like himself either. He has a 5.14 ERA in June while Mikolas is coming off a dominant outing against Pittsburgh in which he was one out away from a no-hitter. Mikolas has a 2.49 ERA this month and his underlying metrics are better than Burnes' in some regards.
Milwaukee has lost six straight as a home favorite and are much worse defensively than St. Louis. With Mikolas looking dominant and the Cardinals with edges in the lineup and field, I have to back them at this big of a number against a team I don't trust.
Diamondbacks vs Padres Under 7.5 (-120)
Zach Davies vs Yu Darvish is another fantastic pitching matchup and I love the under. It's 5-0 in Darvish's home starts this year as he's compiled a 1.35 ERA in that span.
The Diamondbacks are 29th in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last two weeks and I think they'll struggle again today. But the Padres have been poor against righty's all season themselves, while Zach Davies has been elite in June. He has a 1.31 ERA this month while holding his opponent scoreless in 21 of his last 22 innings.
Angels vs Royals Under 8.5 (+105)
It's dangerous taking an under in a Kris Bubic game, but that's exactly how I'm closing out this parlay. Sometimes it pays to be bold.
Bubic has been much better since returning from the minors, and he attributes that success to throwing fewer fastballs. He's ramped up the usage of his changeup, which the entire Angels' lineup except Mike Trout struggles against.
Los Angeles has the worst OPS in MLB against left-handed pitchers over the last three weeks and their struggles should continue against an improving Bubic. But the Royals are struggling offensively too, and Noah Syndergaard has been lights out.
Syndergaard is 1-3 in those four dominant outings because the Angels lineup can't give him run support. I expect more of the same today. Look for the under to improve to 6-1-1 in the Royals' last seven as road underdogs and hit for the fourth straight matchup in which the Angels are a home favorite.
MLB Parlay for June 20, 2022 (+1785)
- Blue Jays vs White Sox Over 9.0 (-105)
- Cardinals (+157) vs Brewers
- Diamondbacks vs Padres Under 7.5 (-120)
- Royals vs Angels Under 8.5 (+105)
I'm salivating over the +1785 odds we're getting for this four-team doozy. That's $446.46 on a $25 bet over at WynnBET Sportsbook, and I'm thrilled to see how this bad boy shakes out.
Don't forget to pick your favorites to craft your own magnificent holiday parlay and check out the BetSided previews to find the best value.
Good luck as always, and let's get after it!
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.