Best NBA Prop Bets Today (Fade James Harden and Tyrese Maxey, Back Luka Doncic on Tuesday)

The BetSided team is all in on player props for this NBA season, sharing our favorite and best prop bet picks each day during the year. 

Best NBA Prop Bets Record to Date

• NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 278-227-4 (+17.3883 units)

Here are the plays we are eyeing for tonight’s slate with all odds via WynnBET:

Best NBA Prop Bets Today

• Luka Doncic OVER 8.5 Assists (-105)
• James Harden UNDER 36.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-125)
• James Harden UNDER 2.5 Made 3-Pointers (-130)
• Tyrese Maxey UNDER 2.5 3-Pointers Made (-110)

Luka Doncic OVER 8.5 Assists (-105)

Even though the series is shifting back to Phoenix and the role players are expected to decline, this is a fantastic opportunity to get on Luka’s assist line. Doncic has cleared this line in each of the last two games and missed it by one assist in Game 1. Doncic has the ball in his hands the entire game and has no problem finding the open shooter.

The Dallas Mavericks have found something on the offensive end and it involves Doncic being more of a distributor. If the Phoenix Suns continue to put pressure on Doncic, expect him to rack up the assists tonight. – Donnavan Smoot

James Harden UNDER 36.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-125)

I know James Harden rode a monster fourth quarter to lead the Philadelphia 76ers to a win in Game 4, but do we really think he has back-to-back good games in him? 

Harden is averaging 19.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 9.0 assists per game in the playoffs, which would put him below this number in Game 5. 

The Miami Heat will have Gabe Vincent back in the starting lineup (a better defender than the injured Lowry) and I think the Heat can throw a bunch of different looks at him tonight to make someone else beat them. 

I’m not going to overreact to one good Harden game, as he’s cleared this number just three times all postseason. – Peter Dewey

James Harden UNDER 2.5 Made 3-Pointers (-130)

Harden erupted for six made 3-pointers in Game 4 en route to the Sixers' home win to even their series at 2-2.

Back in Miami, the defense will tighten up, and that could spell problems from behind the arc.

Via Fansure NBA, Harden has missed this prop in eight of his last nine games.

Miami owns the second-best defensive rating in the postseason behind only the Milwaukee Bucks, and the Sixers rank third-worst amongst active playoff teams in 3-point percentage in the playoffs.

I'll play the numbers and say Harden comes close, but no cigar. -- Ben Heisler

Tyrese Maxey UNDER 2.5 3-Pointers Made (-110)

Tyrese Maxey hasn't been shooting all that great on the road. Outside of a Game 6 outburst from 3, he hasn't hit more than two treys in any game this postseason. Even with a massive 5-for-12 3-point game in that aforementioned game, he is shooting 30% from beyond the arc on the road this postseason. 

I think this number is inflated from Game 3 and 4 where he shot 7-for-11 from 3, but I'm going to sell high on the guard getting cooking from deep on the road. This price is too cheap not to play. – Reed Wallach