I've got a fantasy football draft today in a league notorious for extremely slow drafters. There's no time limit, so it can take up to five hours to finish the draft. It's absurd.
Sometimes, I just want a little instant gratification, you know? Who wants to wait when I can get the answers for the test now?
Thankfully, a healthy slate of No Run First Inning (NRFI) and Yes Run First Inning (YRFI) bets are here to save the day. There's a ton of juicy matchups to target, and I'm ready to take my frustrations out on the sportsbooks.
Using odds from WynnBET, here are my favorite NRFI/YRFI bets of the day:
Best NRFI and YRFI Bets Today
Angels vs Tigers NRFI (-155)
I like the under in this matchup for the same reason I like the NRFI: each lineup is terrible and both pitchers can be trusted.
Shohei Ohtani has a 2.70 first inning ERA for the Los Angeles Angels and allowed two or fewer runs in 10 of his last 11 starts. The Detroit Tigers easily have the worst OPS against right-handed pitchers this month and score in the opening frame in a pathetic 19.67% of their games. Thus, I think Ohtani throws up zeroes rather easily.
This bet then, comes down to our trust in Eduardo Rodriguez to shut the Angels down. He looked exceptional in his tune-up games in the minors after returning from injury, compiling a 0.82 ERA over three starts while striking out 17 batters in 11 innings.
The Angels score in the first inning less than 25% of the time on the road and aren't hitting lefties well. Trust Rodriguez and back the NRFI.
Giants vs Rockies NRFI (+130)
It's always a dicey preposition to take the NRFI in a game at Coors Field, but I love the value with +130 odds. This is another contest I like the under in, as both pitchers show reasons to trust them.
Jakob Junis just threw seven strong innings against Arizona for the San Francisco Giants, allowing just one run. In August, every single one of his pitches has a higher opponent's actual batting average than expected, so we can expect some positive regression for him.
In 12 starts, Junis hasn't allowed a single first inning run.
Kyle Freeland should have success for the Colorado Rockies as well. The Giants' lineup is averaging 2.25 runs per game in its last four, and Freeland's underlying metrics are better than what he's shown. Of his last six home starts, four came against the Padres and Dodgers while the other two were against the Cardinals and Braves.
That's a ridiculously tough schedule, and Freeland will benefit from facing a much weaker lineup.
Nationals vs Padres YRFI (-110)
Oh, baby! Two of my favorite pitchers in the world to fade square off? Sign me up for a YRFI bet!
Patrick Corbin is an abject disaster, with a 4-16 record and 6.96 ERA on the season. He's surrendered at least four runs in seven consecutive starts, and he's got a bananas 9.64 first inning ERA. You may have heard that the San Diego Padres' lineup is pretty decent, too.
Not to be outdone, Sean Manaea has a 9.69 ERA this month and the Washington Nationals have the 12th-best OPS against left-handed pitchers in that time frame. Manaea has been an abject disaster for about two months now, and I can't believe we're getting only -110 odds on the YRFI.
Rejoice all, for it's Patrick Corbin Day and Sean Manaea Day at the same darn time.
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.