British Open Championship Cut Line Prediction (What Will Golfers Need to Shoot to Make the Cut?)

Shane Lowry won The Open in 2019 as he now guns for a second major championship
Shane Lowry won The Open in 2019 as he now guns for a second major championship / Andrew Redington/GettyImages

**Editor's Note**

Round 2 of the British Open is underway and the current projected cut line is even par and trending toward -1. After Round 1, it was at +1. What follows is the original story predicting the cut line to be +1.

As we prepare for the 150th Open Championship this week at St. Andrews in Scotland, there's a plethora of information to dive into. All of it designed to help achieve our goal of coming away with a metric ton of cash.

You can check out my preview, top picks, dark horse bets, and more with the BetSided coverage throughout the week, though sometimes we need to get back to basics. Our wagers at WynnBET can't win if our golfers don't make the cut, right?

So what will that all-important cut line be? Let's take a look at some recent history to help make a prediction:

What Will the British Open Championship Cut Line be?

The top 70 golfers after the first two rounds will make the cut. Over the last 10 years, the cut line has been as follows:

  • 2021: +1
  • 2020: Cancelled
  • 2019: +1
  • 2018: +3
  • 2017: +5
  • 2016: +6
  • 2015: E
  • 2014: +2
  • 2013: +8
  • 2012: +3

As you can see, this is traditionally a pretty tough tournament, and you can make the cut even if you have a poor round over the first couple of days.

We know from Brian Giuffra's weather report that the conditions should be favorable, so I'm expecting golfers to need a stronger number to make it to Round 3.

I'll lean heavily on the 2015 and 2010 (+2) cut lines as those tournaments were also held at St. Andrews. Thus, I don't think we'll see a big number make it. This is a manageable course in which driving accuracy is less important, so errant tee shots won't turn into disastrous scores like they could otherwise.

Unless the weather flips and we see a ton of wind, I think players will go low. Thus, I'll settle in with a prediction of +1 as the cut line for the 150th Open Championship.


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.