Build Your Own Bet: How to 'Same Game Parlay' Jaguars vs. Bengals
By Ben Heisler
Sweating out a parlay bet can be a day-long event with multiple games at different times. Then, the "same game parlay" was born.
Same game parlays, particularly on stand-alone prime time games are a ton of fun. Bettors can still enjoy the intrigue of betting small and winning big if everything comes through, minus the waiting through an entire slate. You can focus in on one matchup and watch as your bets hopefully hit throughout the evening.
At WynnBET, their "Build Your Own Bet" feature consists of a variety of betting options; ranging from the spread, total, alternatives spreads and totals, and several unique prop bets with multiple outcomes. Most sportsbooks have you choose between one number, say for example, passing yards.
In this particular game, Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow must go over 249.5 rushing yards for that prop bet to hit, but at WynnBET, they offer up several outcome ranges, with higher-priced odds for lower numbers to surpass. If Burrow goes over 200 yards, the odds are -275 (bet $275 to win $100), but if he goes past 300, it's available at plus-odds of +115.
Here is a sample "Build Your Own Bet" same-game parlay I like for tonight's Thursday night game between the Jaguars and Bengals. A $25 entry would win $150 at +600 odds!
Back the Bengals on the Moneyline
The 2-1 Bengals have shown this season that they're a superior team to 0-3 Jacksonville, but Thursday Night Football games are weird and the extra hook on both tiers (-7.5 and -3.5) make me a tad bit nervous for a backdoor cover. The current spread is Cincinnati -7.5 facing a Jaguars team still 0-3 against the spread.
With four other legs to go, I'll back the Bengals at much lower odds (-340), but only having to win by one point or more.
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Go Under with plenty of room after 45.5
The actual number is 46, but this adds another layer of protection to my bet, just with smaller odds.
This is a play respecting Cincinnati's improved defense this year. After finishing 22nd in points allowed and 26th in yards allowed, the Bengals are 6th and 8th respectively in 2021.
Meanwhile, Jacksonville is averaging less than 18 points a game, with their implied total listed at just 19.5.
I also like the under because of how often the Bengals are running this year as Burrow recovers from his offseason ACL injury. Cincinnati owns the fourth-lowest pass play percentage in the entire NFL so far in 2021, after finishing at No. 13 last year.
Joe Mixon Should Run Wild on Jaguars
Over 70 rushing yards
In case anyone needed a reminder, Joe Mixon owned the Jaguars' soul the last time they met.
Maybe it feels hyperbolic, considering Jacksonville hasn't won a game since Week 1 of the 2020 season, but Mixon's total is up to 88.5 yards at WynnBET. Even with a solid game, still feels like it could potentially be a stretch.
Mixon so far in 2021 is averaging just over 22 touches a game for around 95 yards. He's seen his carries go down the last few games, but a 7.5-point favorite sets up well for the Bengals' running game script. The Jaguars are also tied with the Ravens, Dolphins and Chiefs for most total touchdowns allowed to running backs.
James Robinson Sees a Similar Workload to Week 3
Over 45 rushing yards
I mentioned in my "best bet" for Thursday night's roundtable here at BetSided that since Urban Meyer found something that worked well for his offense last week, there's a very likely chance he comes out tonight with the old-school mentality of getting the ground game going.
Robinson ran for a season-high 88 yards on a season-high 15 carries for Jacksonville last week, and while the Bengals are solid against the run, even if he carries it 12 times instead of 15 or more like last week, he just needs to average four yards a carry for the number to hit.
WynnBET has his original number at 52.5, so going down to 45+ wasn't much of a drastic move to impact the odds.
Trevor Lawrence Needs to Go Downfield
Over 235 passing yards
Because of the higher expected emphasis to get Robinson going, I'm also on Lawrence's under for 37.5 passing attempts for the game. He's actually only cleared 235 once in three total games this year, but I'll go "over" in large part because he'll take some deep chances and are expected to be down by more than a touchdown late.
I do expect him to clear the 235.5 number regardless. That specific number also gives bettors a 20-yard grace period between where we need him to hit, and his actual prop number at WynnBET.
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