Ask the Oddsmakers: Don't Sleep on Titans as Super Bowl Contender

The Tennessee Titans are almost a full touchdown underdog at home to the Buffalo Bills tonight on Monday Night Football, but that doesn't mean there's no value long-term.

Heading into Week 6, WynnBET has posted the Titans at +4000, or 40/1 odds to win Super Bowl 56. This is after they opened the season down at +2500 to win a championship.

Tennessee has had a bit of an up-and-down start, going 3-2, but with a blowout loss at home to the Arizona Cardinals, and a 27-24 road loss to the winless New York Jets. With a win tonight, however, we could see those odds catapult back to where they first opened.

Despite their inconsistencies, the Titans remain the clear favorite in the AFC South over the 2-4 Indianapolis Colts. The Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars are not even in remote consideration with their 1-5 starts to the season. Despite their flaws, are the Titans still a good potential bet down the road?

We asked WynnBET Senior Trader Motoi Pearson about the Titans' long-term projections and whether there remains good value available.

“The Titans at +4000 to win the Super Bowl is one of the best prices of the teams we’re offering that can still easily win their division," Pearson said. "There might be a bit of value there as this team tries to get healthy down the stretch.”

Titans Have the Easiest Path to the Postseason Amongst AFC Teams

The AFC South is competing with the NFC East for the reputation to be the most pathetic division in the NFL this year. Tennessee leads the way with a 3-2 record, with their competition all at least two games below .500 or worse. In the NFC East, the Dallas Cowboys are 5-1, with the Washington Football Team and Philadelphia Eagles 2-4. The New York Giants bring up the caboose with a 1-5 record.

Even if the Titans barely get into the postseason, the worst seed they would have is likely No. 4, meaning they'd still get to host a home game in the Wild Card round.

Furthermore, the Titans have dealt with a multitude of early injuries to some of their biggest playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. Both Julio Jones and A.J. Brown have missed time so far this year, with Jones coming over in a blockbuster trade with the Atlanta Falcons. The two receivers have combined for just 22 receptions and one touchdown in 2021. That's simply not good enough.

Tennessee has flaws, but this year more than ever, the NFL feels incredibly wide open for one team to get hot at the right time. The Titans right now have a bottom-10 defense in the league, ranking 24th in points allowed, but if they can get key free agent pass rusher Bud Dupree back healthy, along with first round corner Caleb Farley consistently on the field, their defense could take a massive step in the right direction.

I agree with the oddsmakers' assessment and not only do I like a small future bet purely for value on Tennessee, as I wrote in our team's "Monday Night Football Best Bets," earlier, I expect the Titans to not only cover the six-point spread versus Buffalo, but perhaps win outright.