FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleepers, Dark Horse Picks and Longshots (Take Advantage of Overlooked Emiliano Grillo)
The regular season is over, and the top 125 golfers in the FedEx Cup standings will now head to TPC Southwind for the first round of the playoffs, the FedEx St. Jude Championship.
If you want my full betting preview and top picks for the event, check out my article here.
Now, it's time to dive into some longshot bets for you crazy individuals who want to strike it rich on a golfer tournament. Last week, I gave out Ryan Moore at 300/1 and he was hovering around the top 10 before finally falling to T21. Still, it was a wild ride to imagine hitting a 300/1 winner.
Let's see if we can get another longshot to be in contention for the weekend.
All odds listed below are via WynnBET Sportsbook.
FedEx St. Jude Championship Longshot Bets
Chris Kirk +11000
Chris Kirk is one of those guys who will often show up on people's lists of favorable longshots to bet on, but for good reason.
He ranks 17th in total strokes gained this season, including 14th in strokes gained: tee-to-green. He has the numbers that would make you think he would be at the top of the leaderboard from time to time, but he has struggled to put together consistent results, largely due to his putting.
But, the odd time he puts his putting together, he puts up a solid finish. For example, his putter was solid at the PGA Championship, and he finished T5. He had a good tournament putting his last time out, at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, and he finished T17.
Let's hope for another strong putting performance from Kirk, and we could be in business at 110/1.
Emiliano Grillo +17500
Not many people are talking about him, but Emiliano Grillo enters this week's event having two T2 finishes in his last three starts.
Also, he's now had three straight tournaments where he has gained strokes with his putter, something that's been unheard of throughout his career and has plagued him more times than not. He's a fantastic ball striker, and if he can gain strokes with his putter again, there's nobody at 175/1 who'd be a better bet than him.
Russell Knox +30000
If you want a 300/1 longshot at a course that favors good iron players, look now further than Russell Knox. He ranks 29th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approach, and third in greens in regulations.
Much like Grillo, his putting hurt him all season. He ranks 186th in that category, but has now gained strokes with his flat stick in three straight starts. He has got progressively better in those starts, going T42, T37, and T21.
Hey, we almost hit Ryan Moore at 300/1 last week. Let's try another golfer at that price.
You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.