NBA Best Bets Today: Three Road Favorites to Back and Seth Curry Prop
By Peter Dewey
We're going away from home in Monday's edition of NBA Best Bets, as I have three different road favorites that I love in tonight's NBA slate.
Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors take on the Indiana Pacers with the two-time MVP just seven 3-pointers away from the all-time record. Naturally, he'll probably get close enough to break it against my New York Knicks on Tuesday at Madison Square Garden.
It never fails.
However, I'm actually looking at Steph's brother, Seth Curry, for my favorite player prop bet of the night.
Here are all four picks for Monday's slate!
All odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.
NBA Best Bets Record to Date
- NBA Best Bets Record: 49-59-2
NBA Best Bets Today
- Phoenix Suns -3 vs. Los Angeles Clippers (-110)
- Milwaukee Bucks -1 vs. Boston Celtics (-110)
- Golden State Warriors -3.5 vs. Indiana Pacers (-110)
- Seth Curry OVER 13.5 Points (+100)
Who are the BetSided guys taking in their "best bets" for tonight? Check out the latest "Bet & Breakfast" podcast for plays, as well as early leans for Week 15 in the NFL!
Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers: Suns -3 (-110)
I am all over Phoenix in this spot on the road.
The Suns are obviously one of the best teams in the NBA, and they do it on both ends of the floor, ranking second in the NBA in defensive rating and eighth in offensive rating this season.
The Clippers are just 25th in the NBA in offensive rating, and with Paul George doubtful this team is going to have an even tougher time scoring against Phoenix.
Los Angeles is just 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 games, and the Suns have been solid as a road favorite (4-3 ATS this season). Of the Suns’ last 11 wins, all 11 have come by four or more points.
I think that streak continues tonight for Chris Paul and company.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics: Bucks -1 (-110)
The Celtics have lost three straight games heading into this matchup, and I’m not sure that I can trust Boston, even at home, against the 18-10 Bucks.
Milwaukee is 12-2 since Khris Middleton returned from the NBA’s health and safety protocol, and it is 7-3 against the spread as a road favorite this season.
Boston is just 4-6-1 this season as an underdog, and I don’t think it has had a chance to really mesh with Jaylen Brown in and out of the lineup.
Boston is No. 10 in the league in defensive rating, but Milwaukee is No. 7. The Celtics have covered just three times in their last nine games, and I don’t see things changing against a much better Bucks team tonight.
Golden State Warriors vs. Indiana Pacers: Warriors -3.5 (-110)
Steph Curry is just seven 3-pointers away from breaking Ray Allen’s all-time record, and he'll get a chance against the Indiana Pacers on Monday night.
There had been talk of the Golden State Warriors potentially resting Curry and other veterans on the first game of a back-to-back, but the team had decided to have them suit up.
The Warriors are still the NBA’s No. 2 team against the spread this season even after their loss to the Philadelphia 76ers, and I’m going to back them on the road in this game.
Indiana is 14-13-1 against the spread this season, but it is just 1-2 ATS as a home dog. When the Warriors win, they win big, as their margin of victory this season is 12.1 points, and I’m not convinced that Curry will have another down game as he chases Allen’s record.
Golden State has covered in nine of its last 13 games, and it has covered in 9 of its last 10 wins as well. The Warriors haven’t won a game by less than 10 points since Nov. 19, so I’ll back them easily at this number with Curry in the lineup.
Seth Curry OVER 13.5 Points (+100)
Seth Curry and the Philadelphia 76ers will take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday, and WynnBET has Curry’s prop set at just 13.5 points in this game.
Curry comes into this game averaging 16.0 points per game while shooting 51.0 percent from the field and 39.8 percent from beyond the arc. Despite that, oddsmakers are favoring the under (-130) on this prop. I’m going to be looking the other way, with value at +100.
Curry has gone over this total in seven of his last nine games, and even with Joel Embiid returning to the lineup, Curry is averaging 12.6 field goal attempts per game over his last nine games.
Memphis is 23rd in the NBA in opponent points per game and defensive rating, so I expect the Sixers and Curry to have a pretty easy time on the offensive end tonight.