NBA Best Bets Today (Predictions for Jordan Poole, Bobby Portis, Heat-Hawks and Suns-Pelicans)

So far this postseason, yours truly is 21-13 in NBA Best Bets, and I’m looking to add to that record on Sunday. 

We’ve got four games to dive into, with Game 4 taking place in four different series! 

Let’s dive into the best bet for the Atlanta Hawks-Miami Heat, Milwaukee Bucks-Chicago Bulls, Golden State Warriors-Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns-New Orleans Pelicans matchups. 

All odds via WynnBET:

NBA Best Bets Record to Date

• NBA Best Bets Record: 206-183-5 (+5.2271 units)

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record in the NBA this season here.

NBA Best Bets Today

• Bobby Portis OVER 13.5 Points (-110)
• Phoenix Suns Moneyline vs. New Orleans Pelicans (-140)
• Jordan Poole OVER 30.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
• Miami Heat-Atlanta Hawks UNDER 221 (-110)

Bobby Portis OVER 13.5 Points (-110)

Bobby Portis has stepped up in a big way for the Milwaukee Bucks this season when one of their three stars (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton or Jrue Holiday) has been out of the lineup. 

Portis did it again in a big way in Game 3, taking 14 shots and scoring 18 points in a blowout win. With Middleton out of the lineup this season, Portis has thrived, averaging 14.7 points on 12.9 field goal attempts per game. 

Portis got the start in Game 3, and he’s averaging 15.5 points per game as a starter this season while taking 12.5 shots per game. As a reserve, he’s averaging just 10.4 points per game on 10.4 shots. 

Portis should be in line for a big role again in Game 4, and I think this number is far too low after his strong Game 3 showing. 

Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans: Suns Moneyline (-140)

The Suns have made things interesting without Devin Booker, and while I’m not sold on them as a lock to make the Western Conference Finals anymore, they present too much value at this number on Sunday. 

Phoenix was favored by double-digits in each of the first two games of this series, so getting them at shorter than -150 odds to simply win Game 4 feels like a steal. The Pelicans have been able to compete without Booker in the lineup, but they squandered an opportunity in Game 3 by letting Deandre Ayton get whatever he wanted inside. 

If the Suns were going to lose on the road, I think it was going to come in the first game without Booker. Now, Phoenix has shown it has a game plan (give the ball to Ayton and Chris Paul as much as possible) to at least withstand this Pelicans team. 

Jordan Poole OVER 30.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

If oddsmakers want to hang this low of a line for Jordan Poole, I will gladly take it. 

Poole has been fantastic for the Golden State Warriors in this series with the Denver Nuggets, as he’s scored 30, 29 and 27 points in the first three games. 

The third-year guard has tallied PRA totals of 34, 42 and 33 in those games, and I think he can ride another big scoring night on Sunday to hit this prop. 

Poole is scoring with a crazy efficiency, shooting 66.7 percent from the field on 14 shots per game this postseason. He’s also getting to the line at a high rate, taking 7.0 free throws per game. 

As long as Poole keeps seeing this volume, he’s going to have a great shot at reaching 25-plus points, which should help carry him over this prop. 

Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks: UNDER 221 (-110)

Trae Young’s heroics in Game 3 helped the Hawks keep their season alive, but I am intrigued by this total at 221 since each of the first three games has been at or under this number (206, 220, 221). 

Yes, the totals are rising, but the Heat could be without Kyle Lowry (questionable) in this game, which makes me think they will slow things down more on offense. Miami has the No. 4 defense in the league, and it played at the No. 28 pace this season. 

Even as good as Atlanta is offensively, I think the Heat would prefer to get back to their style of basketball in Game 4, especially if Lowry is out.

Check out our favorite plays and props for today's slate of NBA Playoff games on our live show, "Bet & Breakfast!"