NBA Best Bets Today (Predictions for Patrick Beverley, Warriors-Nuggets and Mavericks-Jazz in NBA Playoffs)
By Peter Dewey
Another night of playoff basketball is upon us, and we’re continuing to place a bet on every single NBA playoff game this postseason.
Seth Curry O 11.5 Points ✅
— Peter Dewey (@peterdewey2) April 21, 2022
Bucks 1H ❌
Sixers ML ✅
Playoff record: 16-7 ? https://t.co/vCwLqUpkFX
We saw yet another upset on Wednesday night, with the Chicago Bulls beating the Milwaukee Bucks, and now we have three spreads of 6.5 points or less to deal with on Thursday.
A best bet for the Golden State Warriors-Denver Nuggets, Memphis Grizzlies-Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks-Utah Jazz Game 3s on Thursday.
Let’s get into it!
NBA Best Bets Record to Date
- NBA Best Bets Record: 199-176-5 (+6.0258 units)
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record in the NBA this season here.
NBA Best Bets Today
- Golden State Warriors Moneyline vs. Denver Nuggets (-125)
- Dallas Mavericks +6.5 vs. Utah Jazz (-105)
- Patrick Beverley UNDER 9.5 Points (+100)
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets: Warriors Moneyline (-125)
Did the first two games of this series not happen?
The Warriors absolutely blew out the Nuggets in Games 1 and 2, and while things may be a bit tougher on the road, Golden State is far and away the better team in this series.
Steph Curry now gets two more days of rest, and the Warriors’ new death lineup has been about as dominant as they possibly can in this series.
Final tally for the Poole-Klay-Curry-Wiggins-Draymond lineup in the first half: 22-8 in five minutes. They've now outscored the Nuggets 42-14 in 10 minutes this series. That's a +28. Completely changed the tenor of both games.
— Anthony Slater (@anthonyVslater) April 19, 2022
Denver went just 2-5 against the spread as a home underdog this season, and the Nuggets have proven they can’t play well enough offensively around Nikola Jokic to hang with Golden State for a whole game.
Warriors Moneyline (-125)
— Peter Dewey (@peterdewey2) April 21, 2022
Denver simply doesn't have the firepower around Nikola Jokic to compete with Golden State.
The Warriors "death lineup" has closed the last two first halves 44-14, and GS is +45 in the Jokic minutes in this series.
I’m not going to worry about the points and just take the Warriors to go up 3-0 in the series.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz: Mavericks +6.5 (-105)
The Mavericks somehow figured out a way to win Game 2 without Luka Doncic, and they stayed within 6.5 points in Game 1, which was a 99-93 loss.
Doncic is questionable for tonight’s game, and if he does play, this line will almost certainly move a few points in the Mavs’ favor.
For that reason, I’m locking in Dallas with six and the hook now, as I could see Jalen Brunson and Spencer Dinwiddie keeping this close even if Luka doesn’t play.
Utah has blown a ton of leads lately, and it is just 17-22-2 against the spread as a home favorite this season.
Jazz have blown 6 double digit leads in 4thQ’s. Three by at least 16 in last month
— Brian Dameris (@bdameris) April 16, 2022
Give me the Mavs, especially if Luka suits up.
Patrick Beverley UNDER 9.5 Points (+100)
Minnesota Timberwolves guard Patrick Beverley’s game isn’t scoring the basketball, and he’s cleared this line in just three of his last 11 games.
All three games that Beverley broke into double figures, he scored 10 points exactly, so I feel like this line is a bit on the high side for him in Game 3 against the Memphis Grizzlies.
Pat Bev rarely takes double-digit shot attempts (once since Feb. 25), so I just don’t see the volume there for him unless he has an extremely efficient shooting night.
Who should you bet on this NBA postseason? Check out BetSided's breakdown of the Eastern and Western Conference brackets!