Mid-Week NFL Line Movement: Bettors Buying 'Chiefs are Back' Narrative vs. Cowboys

How much is "getting one's swagger back" worth in Vegas?

If you're the Kansas City Chiefs, apparently it's worth a full point!

After Kansas City opened up Week 11 as 1.5-point home favorites vs. the Dallas Cowboys, the line has already moved a full point in the Chiefs' direction at WynnBET Sportsbook. Kansas City is now at -2.5, and on the moneyline at -145 (bet $145 to win $100).

For bettors looking to take the Dallas side, there may not be a better time than right now. The Cowboys are +2.5 underdogs with +125 odds (bet $100 to win $125) on the moneyline.

The total for Sunday afternoon's featured game remains at 56.

Are the Chiefs Being Overvalued After Their Primetime Win?

The Chiefs showcased their explosive offensive talent and improving defense in their statement victory on the road versus the Las Vegas Raiders Sunday night, but they still have a lot more to prove to show they're consistently back to their dominant ways of the past two seasons.

Despite their 6-4 record, Kansas City remains one of the worst covering teams in the league this year at just 3-7 against the spread. Dallas, on the other hand, is tied with the Green Bay Packers with the best ATS record in the NFL with only one loss.

The Cowboys at 7-2 are in the mix for the No. 1 seed in the NFC, their quarterback Dak Prescott is among the top favorites for NFL MVP, and they own the top-ranked offense in the NFL along with a top 10 defense in points allowed.

I got burned last week taking the Raiders plus the points and fading the Chiefs, saying I needed to see them do it more consistently. Don't forget, in the Chiefs' other two wins against the spread, both have been blowout wins on the road. So far at Arrowhead Stadium, they're 0-5 ATS despite a 3-2 record.

The sportsbooks might be daring me to take Dallas +2.5, and if that's their goal, they've got me hook, line and sinker.