PGA Tour Power Rankings Heading Into 3M Open (Finau and Hideki Lead the Field)

Tony Finau leads the field thanks to his stellar play off-the-tee and with his irons
Tony Finau leads the field thanks to his stellar play off-the-tee and with his irons / Warren Little/GettyImages

Did you enjoy the five hours or so to catch your breath after Cameron Smith's electrifying British Open win? Because there's no time to waste - we've got another captivating tournament in store at the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities this weekend.

It's a good time to be named Cameron, as he of the Champ surname looks to defend his 2021 3M Open title. Despite winning last year, Champ (+5000 at WynnBET Sportsbook) isn't among the favorites entering this year's edition. So who do oddsmakers think has a better chance at emerging victorious?

Be sure to check out my preview of the event as well as my top picks, but let's use the odds from WynnBET to peak at the power rankings heading into the 2022 3M Open:

3M Open Power Rankings

1. Tony Finau (+1300)

Finau is a worthy favorite, as his stellar driver and iron game separate him from the field here. He's made the cut in 10 of his last 11 events, with two top-five finishes in his last five.

Driving distance matters at TPC Twin Cities, and Finau is one of the longest drivers out there. He also ranks 17th in Strokes Gained: Approach while leading the field in approach shots from 175-200 yards and is near the top in Par 4 Efficiency 450-500 yards. Finau fits the profile of a winner, but his poor putting could prove his downfall.

2. Hideki Matsuyama (+1750)

If he brings his A-game, Matsuyama is head-and-shoulders better than the rest of the golfers in the field. But he's been plagued by inconsistency of late, likely brought on by a lingering back injury. Over his last six events, he has three finishes in the top 15 and three outside of the top 60.

The former Masters champion is the best iron player in the field, ranking third on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach and 10th in Birdie or Better Percentage. If we get "Good" 'Hideki, he'll win the 3M Open going away.

3. Adam Hadwin (+2000)

Hadwin having the third-best odds at an event where driving distance matters and wedge play doesn't is a bit surprising. He's 120th on Tour in driving distance and struggles on long Par 4 holes, but does rank sixth in Strokes Gained: Around-The-Green.

He finished T6 here last year, so he can clearly succeed at TPC Twin Cities. But he's missed the cut in three of his last seven events, with only one top-10 finish. I'll be looking elsewhere for value, though Hadwin could certainly prove me wrong.

4. Sungjae Im (+2000)

Im is one of my top picks this week, as I believe his game fits the course to a "T"....little golf pun for ya, there.

He's 12th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee and fifth in Strokes Gained: Around-The-Green, but it's his long approach shots that truly make him a tantalizing option. He's T13 in Par 4 Efficiency 450-500 yards, which is the most common hole on the course.

Across the board, Sungjae's statistics suggest his odds should be closer to Finau's, so I like his chances to find success this week.

5. Maverick McNealy (+2500)

Just ask Tiger, all the best golfers come from Stanford. Just kidding, but McNealy is fully capable of a birdie onslaught and his first win is coming sooner than later.

He's got three top-16 finishes over his last three tournaments, including two top-10's, and may be the best putter in the event. McNealy is 12th on Tour in Birdie or Better Percentage, but will need to improve his long approach shots to win the 3M Open.

6. Cameron Davis (+2500)

Being named "Cameron" seems to be one of the best predictors of success lately, but even if his name were "Bobby", Davis still stands out amongst this field.

One of the longest drivers in the tournament while ranking fourth in the field in approach shots from 175-200 yards, Davis is a player I'm targeting. His poor play around-the-green will be mitigated by the advantage he creates with his Off-The-Tee game, and he's trending in the right direction.

Davis has six consecutive made cuts with three top-eight results in his last five events, so a victory in a weak field would suit his trajectory.

7. Davis Riley (+2500)

Riley is another golfer knocking on the door of a big win. From April-June, he rattled off six consecutive tournaments with a top-13 finish and is one of the best ball strikers in this event.

Ranking 12th on Tour in Birdie or Better Percentage, Riley consistently gives himself quality looks. Get yourself familiar with Mr. Riley, because he's trending towards becoming a staple at the top of leaderboards.

8. Sahith Theegala (+2500)

Speaking of golfers you'll want to get familiar with, Theegala is perhaps the young breakout star of the season.

Theegala has three top-16 finishes in his last five tournaments, including a devastating meltdown on Hole 18 at the Travelers Championship to finish T2 to Xander Shauffele. His putting and driving accuracy are concerns, but his distance and strong approach game should put him in contention.

9. Charles Howell III (+3000)

Howell has two top-20 results in his last three tournaments, but I don't see it this week. His two biggest weaknesses, approach shots and putting, are critical skills at TPC Twin Cities, while his strong around-the-green play is mitigated by the design of the course.

He really struggles with long approach shots but does rank eighth in Par 4 scoring. If he can avoid water hazards, he's capable of rattling off enough birdies to contend. I'd rather look elsewhere with my bets, though.

10. Mark Hubbard (+3000)

Hubbard finished T16 here last year and likely lacks the driving distance to pull out the win, but he may be the best in the event at long approach shots and is capable of wild wedge play to help make up for his issues with the driver.

He's among the best putters in the field as well. Though his margin of error is small, Hubbard is so good at all the facets of his game other than driving distance that it wouldn't surprise me to see him play well.

3M Open Expert Picks

Here are some picks from the Green on the Greens crew.

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.