Betsided

The Point Total for Bills vs. Buccaneers Keeps Climbing

By Matt De Saro

The total for the Bucs v Bills game is on the move and we break down what this means for the betting market.
The total for the Bucs v Bills game is on the move and we break down what this means for the betting market. / Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
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The Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, two favorites to win the Super Bowl, will battle in Week 14 at Raymond James Stadium. In what could be a preview of the AFC Championship Game, the Bills are in need of a win to remain in the race. Meanwhile, the Bucs could clinch the division with a won over the Bills.
The Buccaneers have one very important advantage in this game. His name is Tom Brady. It’s not just that TB12 is a special player, but he has owned the Buffalo Bills since being drafted by the Patriots all those years ago. 

Here are the updated odds for this Week 14 matchup of AFC powerhouses, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Bills vs. Buccaneers Updated Odds, Spread, and Total

Spread:

  • Bills: +3 (-110) / Opened +3.5 (-110)
  • Buccaneers: -3 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Bills: +145 / Opened +140
  • Buccaneers: -165 / Opened -160

Total:

  • 53.5 (Over -110/Under -110) / Opened 52.5

Bills vs. Buccaneers Prediction and Pick

The movement that jumps out since the odds opened is the total jumping a full point from 52.5 to 53.5. This is a little confounding to me considering how sloppy the Bills' offense looked last week in a loss to the Patriots. I mean, New England completed just 2-of-3 passes in the whole game. The weather in Tampa Bay should be a world better than it was last week but it still was another game for the Bills where they didn’t show up. 

Now the Bills have fallen all the way back to 7th in the AFC playoff picture and desperately need to get their game back on track. 

This will be hard with Tom Brady on the other side of the field. Brady has beaten the Bills more than any quarterback in NFL history has beaten any other team. He is 32-3 straight up against Buffalo and 6-0 against current HC Sean McDermott. 

game dayThe OVER is 4-1 in the Bucs' last five games that opened at 52.0 or more while the Bills are 2-0 in the same situation. It might just be the hype surrounding this game but the total could continue to grow as we approach gameday. I still am siding with the Bucs but a small lean on the UNDER is intriguing now that the total is up over 53 points. 

Pick: LEAN UNDER 53.5 points (-110)

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