Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Totals Galore to Bet on Sunday in Padres-Nationals and Angels-Tigers)

Sit back, relax and enjoy some Sunday baseball with some of the top plays from the BetSided team of Joe Summers and Peter Dewey. 

We’re all about the totals on Sunday, as there is value with some interesting pitching matchups across Major League Baseball.

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres Odds, Prediction and Pick

• Run Line: Nationals +1.5 (+112) | Padres -1.5 (-135)
• Moneyline: Nationals: +240 | Padres: -270
• Total: 8.5 (Over -105/Under -115)

I am going to fade Patrick Corbin every time he starts, as he has a 6.96 ERA this season and has allowed four or more runs in seven straight starts. 

Sean Manaea has been equally bad as of late, posting a 6.87 ERA over his last eight starts and allowing opponents to hit .321/.378/.593 against him. 

So how should we bet on this matchup? Simply root for runs and take the OVER!

Both of these guys are going to struggle to work deep into the game, and if that’s the case we can expect plenty of runs to be scored early. Even though Washington’s offense is a question mark, Corbin could give up close to eight runs on his own, so I don’t mind trusting the OVER 8.5.

In Corbin’s last six starts, there have been over 8.5 runs in five of them. At -105, I think we have some value here. 

Lean: OVER 8.5 (-105) – Peter Dewey

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers Odds, Prediction and Pick

Eduardo Rodriguez was pitching quite well before his first inning blow-up against the Tampa Bay Rays in his last start. He'd allowed three or fewer runs in six of his seven outings, though the Tigers' poor lineup couldn't generate run support and took the loss in six of those games anyway.

It's difficult to see Detroit putting runs on the board against Ohtani either, as the Tigers easily have MLB's worst OPS against right-handed pitchers this month. Ohtani has an expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) below 3.16 in eight of his last nine starts, including six under 2.22. That's an insane stretch, and it wouldn't surprise me to see the reigning MVP throw a shutout.

That being said, it's hard to trust the Angels as big favorites because the team likes to do things like...whatever that is above. The club invents ways to lose on an bafflingly regular basis, and I don't feel comfortable backing them. Despite Ohtani's incredible run, Los Angeles still lost four of his last five. That should be almost impossible.

So instead, I'll look to the total. 6.5 isn't many runs, but these pathetic lineups make me feel comfortable taking the under. It's 8-0-1 in the Angels' last nine games as road favorites and 5-0-1 in Detroit's last six as home underdogs.

Look for each pitcher to limit the respective offenses as the under train keeps chugging along.

Pick: Under 6.5 (-105) – Joe Summers

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.

Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics Odds, Prediction and Pick

• Run Line: Mariners -1.5 (-120) | Athletics +1.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Mariners: -217 | Athletics: +197
• Total: 6.5 (Over -115/Under -105)

The A’s offense is 25th in OPS over the last 15 days, but JP Sears has pitched too well to be this big of an underdog, even against Luis Castillo. 

That being said, I don’t trust the Oakland offense enough to take them as nearly 2/1 dogs in this matchup. 

Instead, I’m going to look at the first five UNDER, which is set at 3 runs (Over -125/Under +105). 

I think there is value on the UNDER, as Sears is coming off a start where he tossed five scoreless innings and Castillo has a 2.18 ERA since joining Seattle at the deadline. The Mariners are also just 18th in OPS the last 15 days, so it’s not like their offense has been dominating games. 

Lean: First Five Innings UNDER 3 (+105) – Peter Dewey