NFL Picks

Top NFL Picks and Predictions Today (Roll With Bills, Cowboys as Favorites, Tony Pollard Prop and More)

Dallas Cowboys running back Tony Pollard.
Dallas Cowboys running back Tony Pollard. / Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports
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Is there a better tradition in American sports than football on Thanksgiving?

While you're enjoying Thanksgiving with your loved ones, don't forget to fill up on football bets, as well as food to fully enjoy this holiday.

The BetSided team has props, parlays and anytime touchdown picks for every game, as well as our picks on the game itself.

Here are some of our top picks for Thanksgiving Day's action:

Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions Odds, Prediction and Pick

Josh Allen and the Bills offense should have a field day with the Lions' defense. The Lions rank dead last in the NFL in opponent yards per play, giving up 6.4 yards per snap. They're also last in opponent yards per pass attempt, giving up 7.8 yards per throw.

For the Lions to have any chance in this game, they're going to have to score enough to keep pace with Buffalo, and I don't think they have the ability to do so. The Bills defense has been hurt all season, but they've slowly begun to get healthy.

Most notably, Jordan Poyer returned to the lineup last week against the Browns, and his return helped Buffalo's defense keep the Browns to only 3.1 yards per carry.

If the Bills can keep the Lions' run defense in check like they did with the Browns, that should be enough for Buffalo to win with margin and get Thanksgiving started off with a dominant win.

Tony Pollard OVER 20.5 Receiving Yards

Even though the Cowboys love Ezekiel Elliott, they aren’t dumb. They know that Tony Pollard gives them a great chance to win, so he will get onto the field.

Pollard has cleared this line in two of his last four games. He’s seen 12 targets over the last two games, so the volume is there and his role will turn into that as Elliott runs the ball more.

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds, Prediction and Pick

It felt like Sunday's game against the Lions was the first time this season that we saw the Giants' true colors.

The Giants rank 29th in the NFL in net yards per play at -0.7. Their 7-3 record has not been a true indication of how good this team actually is. Meanwhile, the Cowboys, who are also 7-3, rank fifth in the NFL in net yards per play at +0.7.

That difference justifies a bet on the Cowboys to cover this big Thanksgiving Day spread.

The Cowboys' offense has been on fire as of late, averaging 6.4 yards per play over their last three games, the third highest mark in the NFL over that stretch. They've also had the best third down conversion rate in that span, converting 60.47% of their third downs. That means they're well set up to counter the Giants' biggest strength, which is their third down defense.

The Cowboys beat the Giants 23-16 back in September, and don't forget that Cooper Rush was their quarterback for that game. With Rush, they outgained the Giants 6.4 yards per play to 5.0.

Dallas will win big on Thanksgiving.

New England Patriots vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds, Prediction and Pick

If you are betting on an UNDER, what are you looking for? Bad offense and good defense.

Well, over each team's last three games, the Patriots rank last in the NFL in yards per play, but first in the NFL in opponent yards per play. That right there is enough to make me back the UNDER on Thanksgiving night.

In fact, their defense has been the best in the league by a wide margin. They're allowing only 3.7 yards per play, which is 0.7 yards fewer than the next best team. Just last week against the Jets, they kept Zach Wilson and company to only 2.1 yards per play.

You might think that the Vikings offense is explosive enough to do damage against New England, but don't let their 8-2 record fool you. Minnesota ranks just 19th in yards per play, averaging 5.3 yards per snap. That number is down to 4.9 yards per play over their last three games.

Strap in and get ready for a defensive slug fest on Thursday night.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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