NFL Week 4 Odds: 5 best bets against the spread
By Brad Rowland
San Francisco 49ers (-4.5) over Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles are 3-0 and the 49ers are 1-2.
San Francisco is favored by 4.5 points.
The “public” perception would be that this line is inflated, but a deeper dive would tell you that a) there is a real chance that San Francisco is the better team, and b) Philadelphia should certainly not have an unblemished record right now. From a match-up perspective, the Eagles are currently 30th in the NFL in defending the pass, and while Colin Kaepernick isn’t a pure throwing machine, the Niners have the talent to capitalize on that obvious deficiency.
Moreover, the 49ers were embarrassed in their first home game of the season (a 28-20 loss to Chicago), and in a brand new building against an undefeated opponent, that fan base will be in a frenzy. The Eagles are going to score points behind their two-headed running game and Chip Kelly’s brain, but San Francisco won’t be stopped offensively and they should prevail by a touchdown or more at home.