NFL Championship Weekend Odds: Best bets against the spread

Jan 10, 2015; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) smiles from the field after the 2014 AFC Divisional playoff football game against the Baltimore Ravens at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots won 35-31. Mandatory Credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 10, 2015; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) smiles from the field after the 2014 AFC Divisional playoff football game against the Baltimore Ravens at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots won 35-31. Mandatory Credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports /
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Seattle Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman (25) reacts after free safety Earl Thomas (29) intercepts a pass against the Carolina Panthers during the first half in the 2014 NFC Divisional playoff football game at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Seattle Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman (25) reacts after free safety Earl Thomas (29) intercepts a pass against the Carolina Panthers during the first half in the 2014 NFC Divisional playoff football game at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports /

Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks UNDER 46.5 points

This is probably my favorite side of the weekend. First and foremost, the public loves the over, and that should never be discounted. It is a rarity in this space that you’ll see an over pick, and last week, we went 2-0 on the under.

Beyond that, Aaron Rodgers is limping around. Obviously, Green Bay’s offense is still more than capable of scoring (just ask Dallas), but they will rely more on the duo of Eddie Lacy and James Starks than you may think, especially in a true road game in Seattle. Rodgers will undoubtedly make some plays, but it shouldn’t be the full-on assault that Green Bay is capable of when healthy.

On the flip side, Seattle should be content to simply grind the ball into the ground. It is playoff time and that means a steady diet of Marshawn Lynch with game management and running from Russell Wilson. Seattle is going to move the ball on Green Bay, but they won’t do it quickly, and that will be enough to hold this game firmly under the total.

Next: Packers over Seahawks