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Super Bowl Odds: Best bets against the spread

By Brad Rowland

A general view of the Vince Lombardi Trophy and helmets for the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots during a press conference for Super Bowl XLIX at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
A general view of the Vince Lombardi Trophy and helmets for the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots during a press conference for Super Bowl XLIX at Phoenix Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports /
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New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) runs a quarterback sneak during the second quarter against the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC Championship Game at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports
New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) runs a quarterback sneak during the second quarter against the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC Championship Game at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports /

New England Patriots WILL convert a 4th down (+145)

If this was a toss-up bet, I wouldn’t like it quite as much, but at any rate, the Patriots love fourth down. New England is 2-for-2 in the playoffs after converting on seven occasions in the regular season, and Bill Belichick has never been hesitant to allow Tom Brady to run a quarterback sneak in a hurry-up set.

Throw in the possibility that Seattle is leading late in the game, forcing New England to try on fourth down, and the likelihood of a 4th-and-short on Seattle’s side of the field, and I love this bet. The Patriots, perhaps more than any other team, seem to know the math associated with this type of aggressive play, and that is encouraging.

Let’s be honest. I like getting a bit of a boost on my action, and this is a fun one to root for on Sunday.

Next: THE TOTAL

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