NFL Week 13 Odds: 5 best bets against the spread
By Brad Rowland
Buffalo Bills (-3) over Houston Texans
The Bills have lost two in a row and the Texans are rolling in the midst of a five-game winning streak. It’s time to fade Houston. During their run, we cashed in on the Texans as an undervalued property, but that value is gone as they are now seen as “even” with the Bills by only getting this small number on the road.
In addition, the public has really flipped on Houston, to the point where nearly 70% of the action is heading their way, but the line isn’t budging and I still believe Buffalo is the better team in this spot. Part of that belief is that I still don’t trust the Texans to score effectively on the road, and if Rex Ryan can take DeAndre Hopkins away (or at least contain him), I feel great about the Bills with this tiny number. Lay the points.
Oakland Raiders (+3) over Kansas City Chiefs
Much like the Texans, the cat is out of the bag with Kansas City. Andy Reid and his squad have won five (!) straight games to leap back into the playoff picture, but I simply can’t lay points on the road against a reasonably solid opponent, and I believe Oakland qualifies for that provision.
I trust Derek Carr, Amari Cooper and company to put up points in this spot, and with more than two-thirds of the action on the Chiefs, that eases any concern that I might have. Trust me, I realize this won’t be a fun sweat with only a (very) small margin of error, but the Raiders win this game outright in my view, and the extra candy is a nice sweetener. Home underdogs forever.