20 bold predictions for the NBA’s second half

Feb 14, 2016; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Magic Johnson (left) speaks during a tribute to Western Conference forward Kobe Bryant of the Los Angeles Lakers (right) prior to the start of the NBA All Star Game at Air Canada Centre. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 14, 2016; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Magic Johnson (left) speaks during a tribute to Western Conference forward Kobe Bryant of the Los Angeles Lakers (right) prior to the start of the NBA All Star Game at Air Canada Centre. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports /
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November 24, 2015; Oakland, CA, USA; Golden State Warriors forward Draymond Green (23) celebrates during the first quarter against the Los Angeles Lakers at Oracle Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
November 24, 2015; Oakland, CA, USA; Golden State Warriors forward Draymond Green (23) celebrates during the first quarter against the Los Angeles Lakers at Oracle Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports /

Draymond Green will win NBA Finals MVP

This sort of serves as a three-part prediction:

  1. The Warriors will beat the Spurs in the Western Conference Finals
  2. The Warriors will win the NBA Finals
  3. Draymond will win series MVP

The first two aren’t notable in any way; it’s the prediction most folks have. The third prediction comes down to the way the Warriors will win. And it will have more to do with Green than with probable NBA MVP Stephen Curry.

The element the Warriors have over all their potential matches in the East is their lineup flexibility. Having Draymond Green gives the Warriors a player who can guard anybody on the court, from point guard to center, and bringing him in allows the Warriors not to lose anything in terms of shooting, rebounding, passing or team speed when running the floor.

Essentially, he is the cornerstone to their small-ball lineup of doom:

PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andre Iguodala
PF Harrison Barnes
C Draymond Green

That lineup has enough length, rebounding, perimeter and interior defense not to fold against the more powerful inside teams; on offense, together every element of that lineup can create a dizzying web of passes and screens and cuts to run the opposition out.

With Golden State playing with the urgency and speed of this season, a Finals series predicated on the threat of the small-ball lineup could very easily be in store. If that is the case, Draymond will be the key element of that series victory.

Next: Drummond's FT%