NBA Draft Lottery 2018: Who each team should take with the No. 1 pick

WIZINK CENTER, MADRID, SPAIN - 2018/05/03: Luka Doncic, #7 of Real Madrid pictured prior to the 2017/2018 Liga Endesa Regular Season (game 29) between Real Madrid and Kirolbet Baskonia at WiZink Center in Madrid. (Photo by Jorge Sanz/Pacific Press/LightRocket via Getty Images)
WIZINK CENTER, MADRID, SPAIN - 2018/05/03: Luka Doncic, #7 of Real Madrid pictured prior to the 2017/2018 Liga Endesa Regular Season (game 29) between Real Madrid and Kirolbet Baskonia at WiZink Center in Madrid. (Photo by Jorge Sanz/Pacific Press/LightRocket via Getty Images) /
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OMAHA, NE – MARCH 25: Marvin Bagley III #35 of the Duke Blue Devils talks to the media during a press conference after being defeated by the Kansas Jayhawks in the 2018 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament Midwest Regional at CenturyLink Center on March 25, 2018 in Omaha, Nebraska. (Photo by Justin Heiman/Getty Images)
OMAHA, NE – MARCH 25: Marvin Bagley III #35 of the Duke Blue Devils talks to the media during a press conference after being defeated by the Kansas Jayhawks in the 2018 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament Midwest Regional at CenturyLink Center on March 25, 2018 in Omaha, Nebraska. (Photo by Justin Heiman/Getty Images) /

7. Sacramento Kings — Marvin Bagley (5.3% chance)

It’s never really a good idea for a team to talk themselves down from a prospect they love because they have someone filling a similar role on their roster already. Still, you can see how the Kings might find themselves in that dilemma if they win the top pick. Trae Young may have more upside than De’Aaron Fox or Buddy Hield but it might be hard for the Kings to move on from one or the other so quickly. Bogdan Bogdanovic is not the player Luka Doncic could be, but they do similar things. In the middle of the floor, the Kings have already invested time and energy in developing Willie Cauley-Stein and Harry Giles.

If we assume that the Kings got caught navel-gazing at their own roster, than Marvin Bagley could be a reasonable choice. He doesn’t overlap much with their current frontcourt or backcourt rotations and his offensive game could certainly make things easier for Fox, Hield, Bogdanovic and Cauley-Stein. Bagley doesn’t solve any of the Kings defensive issues but he’s a high-upside player who’s, at least theoretically, a round-peg in a round-hole. Sacramento could certainly do worse.