NFL lines, Week 3 2018: 5 best bets

With Pat Mahomes under center, the Chiefs are off to a 2-0 start both straight up and against the spread. They’ve gone over on the point totals in both their games against Chargers and Steelers. Both were road games for Kansas City and both the Chargers and Steelers were thought to have at least decent defenses coming into the season.

The Week 3 matchup with San Francisco will be the first home game for the Chiefs in 2018. After watching their team score 40 points a game on the road, KC fans should be as fired up to watch this game as any in recent memory. The Chiefs have had a significant home field advantage historically, especially under Andy Reid. Since he was hired in 2013, the Chiefs have compiled a record of 28-13 at Arrowhead.

The 49ers are 1-1 after losing to Minnesota on the road in Week 1 then edging the Lions out 30-27 at home last week. They struggled offensively against the Vikings whose defense was among the best in the league last year but bounced back against the Lions, moving the ball with much better balance and consistency in Week 2. The Chiefs rushing defense has yet to really be tested since both of their games have been shootouts so far. When it comes to defending the pass, Kansas City is dead last in the league, allowing 430 yards and three touchdowns per game so far. They’ll likely be without All-Pro safety Eric Berry who hasn’t played since Week 1 of last year and sat out the first two games of 2018 with a heal injury.

The 49ers haven’t been as bad as the Chiefs on defense but they haven’t been good either as they’ve allowed 591 yards and five touchdowns in the air in two games.

Mahomes and his compliment of weapons on the outside plus Travis Kelce over the middle and Kareem Hunt out of the backfield, should have their way with the 49ers D. Take the Chiefs to blow the 49ers out of the building and easily cover the six-point spread. For a bonus pick, take the over on 56 points.