Fansided

NBA prop bets and futures that you should probably fade

By Keith Parish

MILWAUKEE, WI - MARCH 04: Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 of the Milwaukee Bucks and Joel Embiid #21 of the Philadelphia 76ers wait for a rebound during the first half of a game at the Bradley Center on March 4, 2018 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WI - MARCH 04: Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 of the Milwaukee Bucks and Joel Embiid #21 of the Philadelphia 76ers wait for a rebound during the first half of a game at the Bradley Center on March 4, 2018 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) /
facebooktwitterreddit

While predicting the big picture may not be incredibly difficult (for example: we know with relative certainty who will win the championship and all but a few playoff spots are spoken for), NBA prop bets and futures are another matter entirely. Trying to guess who will win year end awards or the scoring title is usually a losing matter.

Last year the hands-down favorite to win Most Valuable Player was…….wait for it……Kawhi Leonard. Needless to say, we hope you didn’t place that wager. Vegas correctly predicted that the Rookie of the Year race would be a tight two-man race- they just thought it would be a contest between Lonzo Ball and Ben Simmons, and had Donovan Mitchell as a distant long-shot.

Here at Fastbreak Breakfast, we like making bold prognostications and sometimes will back them with a small financial sum. And though we are historically quite good at picking Over/Unders, we do not have a successful track record of picking the MVP, the ROY, the scoring champ and more. Will that stop us from taking another stab at some NBA futures and prop bets? Of course not! But for the sake of any listeners who may be inclined to follow our predictions to the betting window, just keep in mind we don’t have a proven track record of success here. We won’t be offended if you fade our picks. Come to think of it, that sounds like a great idea.

Or, if you want to follow the strategy we profess and practice: save your hard-earned money for next week’s Season 5 premiere of Fastbreak Breakfast and gamble on the Eastern Conference Over/Unders.

Next. Meet the 2018 NBA 25-under-25. dark

All Fastbreak Breakfast episodes are also available for download on iTunes and Soundcloud.

Original music provided by New Man.

If you want to play fantasy basketball with Keith, Jon and Chuck and other listeners of Fastbreak Breakfast, you can sign-up at Patreon.com/FastbreakBreakfast. For $5 a month you can join a listener league, including the ISHOP Negative Fantasy League. In addition, you will gain access to exclusive bonus episodes and the private Slack chat.

Home/Podcasts