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MLB DFS pitching gems of the day July 17: All in on Paddack

By Brandon Lauderback

SAN DIEGO, CA - JUNE 4: Chris Paddack #59 of the San Diego Padres pitches during the first inning of a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies at Petco Park June 4, 2019 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)
SAN DIEGO, CA - JUNE 4: Chris Paddack #59 of the San Diego Padres pitches during the first inning of a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies at Petco Park June 4, 2019 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images) /
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PHOENIX, ARIZONA – MAY 19: Robbie Ray #38 of the Arizona Diamondbacks delivers a pitch during the first inning of the MLB game against the San Francisco Giants at Chase Field on May 19, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images) /

MLB DFS Pitching Plays

Robbie Ray – Left-Handed pitchers against the Rangers is a very real thing. They have the second-highest strikeout rate in the league at 26%, with very limited power from the right side of the plate. This benefits Robbie quite a bit since his troubles are strictly against RHH. Texas has four LHH projected in the lineup, with the major threats being the “Ageless Wonder” Hunter Pence, and Andrus. It’s also worth noting that as a unit, Texas will hit more GB to LHP, at around 45%.

Pitch Mix – Ray uses his fastball and slider the most, mixing in his curve, and sinker as well. The breaking pitches are getting a ridiculous amount of whiffs to RHH, 63% on the slider, and 42% on the curve. The problem becomes when he isn’t getting whiffs, Ray has a lower GB rate on his pitches, with only the sinker getting above 40% GB.

He does have very solid vertical movement on the fastball, at almost 11 inches, and Texas hits a lot of GB on his fastball. The same thing goes for the slider, except they have less hard contact and much higher whiffs. At slightly below 10K, Robbie has some massive upside in the hot sun of Texas.