DraftKings MLB picks July 23: Max Muncy, that funky Muncy

DraftKings MLB daily notes:

Dakota Hudson has been decent enough against the Pirates that I’m not going to make it a point to target him, but there is enough potential for a blowup here to keep me from using him as well. Josh Bell has two of the three RBI against Hudson this year for the Pirates. Colin Moran and Corey Dickerson are worth a look too.

Matt Boyd has not given up less than four runs in a start since June 7th. He has also not had single digit DraftKings points in that span. Chase the K’s if you want, but I see no need on a full slate and with Nola just $200 more. Rhys Hoskins and Scott Kingery are front and center for me. Bryce Harper is still very cheap, and Maikel Franco is worth a look if you need to save money. I will definitely have some exposure to this one.

Danny Duffy has decent numbers against the Braves in what little he’s seen of them, and SunTrust would be one park where he could look pretty good. However, whatever you’re chasing with Duffy isn’t there right now. He hasn’t struck out more than five since the Blue Jays on June 28th. This is a very dangerous team here, so I’m not playing around. I may play around with Acuna, a red hot Josh Donaldson, or Dansby Swanson though. Austin Riley is definitely worth a look too.

Tanner Roark has been solid against the Brewers, but there are spots to go after. Christian Yelich has slugged two homers against Roark so far. Moose, Eric Thames, Jesus Aguliar, and Grandal have all taken him deep as well. However, only Yelich and Grandal are hitting above .200 against Roark.

Normally Zach Davies is my go-to on the lower tier, but not tonight. The Reds are the only team that Davies has had problems with this year. He has given up eight runs in eight innings to the Reds. Davies has allowed 34 runs in 101.2 innings to the rest of the league. Dietrich has homered off of Davies twice. Votto and Jose Peraza have also taken him deep. Puig and Jesse Winker are worth a look as well depending on how far you want to take this. Davies has been strong overall and even better at home.

If you have read me at all, you know that I’m pretty high on Caleb Smith. However, after what the Sox did to Richards last night, I don’t want to pay the price for him. The strikeout upside is there just as it came to fruition for Richards. The problem is that Smith wont go more than five or six innings and the Sox hit lefties well. Smith’s ERA is also nearly two runs higher on the road. Moncada and Jose Abreu look good to me. So does James McCann, but I likely wont use them all in the same line.

This is not going to be a popular take, but I’m not using Domingo German. German has a 4.53 ERA in eight road starts. He dominated the Twins in the Bronx, but every Yankee in the last ten years has there. The issue here is that you don’t know what to go after. German has dominated both sides of the plate. Nelson Cruz homered off of him in New York, so that’s a good start. I’m also a fan of Max Kepler here. Marwin Gonzalez is 4-9 against German, and is batting in the middle of the order.

Kyle Gibson has been good enough at home to not stack against, but I’m not leaving him totally alone either. Edwin is 10-33(.303) with four homers and 11 RBI against Gibby, so I’ll have many shares of him. Gary Sanchez has two homers off of Gibson in eight at bats. Brett Gardner is really the only other one that has him him well enough, but Aaron Judge only has one at bat against Gibson.

You have to pick your spots with a guy like Dylan Bundy, and this is definitely not one of them in roasting Arizona in his first start off the IL. Bundy gave up 17 runs in 17 innings over his last four starts before landing on the shelf. Ketel Marte, Alex Avila, and Eduardo Escobar has all hit Bundy well in small sample sizes. Long time teammate Adam Jones is also a strong pick.

While I will admit that Darvish is a little tempting since he hasn’t allowed a run in 20 days and he’s playing the Giants, the Giants are one of the hottest things going right now. This team doesn’t want to be sold, and they are rallying at the right time. Alex Dickerson, Mike Yastrzemski, Brandon Crawford, and Joe Panik are all super tempting against Darvish. So is Brandon Belt. I see the Giants are more filler than core plays, but I will have some exposure across multiple lineups.

Kenta Maeda has been good at home, but he was blitzed by the Angels earlier this year. Justin Upton had the only homer, but with so many runs scored, you know other guys did some damage. They were Trout, Kole Calhoun, and Pujols. I won’t go heavily here, but I will have a few Angels with the way they are hitting.

We saw a nice game from Marco Gonzales against these same Rangers last night, so Tom Milone is on my radar. Relative to everyone else on the slate, he seems a little high to me though. Milone serves up quite a few homers, so Danny Santana, Hunter Pence, and Gallo are all on my radar.

As of now, the Rangers haven’t named a starter. Some places say it will be Pedro Payano, which essentially means it’s a bullpen game. If I trusted the Mariners at all, I would run all of them at Texas. As it stands, I think I’m only interested in Kyle Seager, J.P. Crawford, and maybe Narvaez. I can make sense of Dan Vogelbach, but I’m probably not moving off of Edwin.