Fansided

DraftKings MLB picks July 30: The Reynaldo Lopez show

By Mike Marteny

NEW YORK, NY - AUGUST 29: Reynaldo Lopez #40 of the Chicago White Sox pitches against the New York Yankees during the third inning at Yankee Stadium on August 29, 2018 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY - AUGUST 29: Reynaldo Lopez #40 of the Chicago White Sox pitches against the New York Yankees during the third inning at Yankee Stadium on August 29, 2018 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images) /
facebooktwitterreddit
Prev
2 of 5
Next
DraftKings MLB
BOSTON, MA – MAY 28: David Price #10 of the Boston Red Sox exits the field during the second inning of a game against the Cleveland Indians on May 28, 2019 at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images) /

DraftKings MLB Pitcher Plays:

Top Tier:

Charlie Morton ($10,900): Morton had one start in Fenway earlier this year. He went six shutout innings. All in all, Morton has averaged 24.9 DraftKings points in three starts against Boston. Only one was in Boston, and it was a good one. That’s enough for me to use Morton here. The caveat is that Boston is hitting an offensive stride right now. I’m not going out of my way to use Morton, but if I have the cash, I’ll probably throw one out there.

Shane Bieber ($10,600): You wont find Verlander here. You have to go down a couple of pages for it all to be explained. If you plan on paying for pitching, pay for Bieber. Bieber put up a solid 21.3 DraftKings points on the Astros the first time around. His home ERA makes me a touch nervous, but Bieber is electric when he’s on and gets enough strikeouts when he’s not to still put up a good total. Besides, his ERA at Progressive Field is much better than his opponent’s…..

Noah Syndergaard ($10,300): it’s been a while since I’ve been willing to play Thor, and I half expect him to be traded before lock. This is a dream spot against the free swinging White Sox. The DH just means more chances for a strikeout. I would say that the position players probably strike out more than a White Sox pitcher would. At any rate, the main risk here isn’t Thor getting beaten up. It’s Thor getting dealt between innings.

Middle Tier:

David Price ($9,000): His former teammates are hitting a paltry .158 against Price with three homers and eight runs in 133 at bats with a staggering 62 strikeouts. This high 40’s K rate may not keep up, but Price does have 35 strikeouts in just 23 innings against the Rays this year. If you want to chase elite K upside, why pay for Verlander? Oh, and Price has a 2.89 ERA at Fenway this year.

Griffin Canning ($7,900): Canning put up 23 DraftKings points on the Tigers the first time around, which would make him a nice pick in this price range. Canning has hit a rough patch lately though, losing points in two of his last three starts. Detroit will get him back on track. That’s one of the few things we can count on tonight.

Reynaldo Lopez ($7,700): I’m glad that DraftKings is slow to come around on Lopez because he is still a bargain at this price. Lopez has only allowed five runs (four earned) in 21 innings since the break. Something has clicked. Lopez has 82.5 DraftKings points over those three starts. Another 20 against the Mets seems certain. I’m all in on Lopez here. I will have him in every build.

Adam Wainwright ($7,500): Looking at Waino’s numbers against the Cubs this year will chase you off, but they don’t tell much of the story. Wainwright had the Cubs once at Busch and twice at Wrigley. In the home start, Wainwright allowed just two hits in eight shutout innings. That’s no surprise given Wainwright’s 2.33 ERA in nine home starts. He’s safe in Busch, even against the Cubbies.

Bargain Pitchers:

Ariel Jurado ($5,700): Jurado has pitched well against the Mariners this year, albeit in relief. The 5.45 home ERA is concerning, but this Mariners offense really isn’t. There is decent potential on Jurado here as you can see by the five strikeouts in three scoreless innings, but he could go up in flames in the Texas heat just like his counterpart. If you want a piece of Coors though, you have to take a risk somewhere.

Joe Musgrove ($5,100): We need some value somewhere, and Musgrove could be a place to get it. He has allowed just three hits in nine innings to the Reds this year, but those were in his first two outings of the year. A lot has gone astray for Musgrove since. The Reds are only hitting .231 against Musgrove with three homers and five runs with 15 strikeouts in 52 at bats. Those numbers are strong enough for the price, but Musgrove is always a risk. The two innings he pitched at Great American Launching Pad back on March 31st is his only experience in Cincy. We don’t have much to go on.

Mike Montgomery ($4,800): This is the pitching equivalent of a free space. Montgomery gave up just one solo homer to Cleveland in five innings last week. The issue here appears to be that he still isn’t stretched out. Despite the nice start, Montgomery still netted just 5.7 DraftKings points because he didn’t record a strikeout. That wont be the case against the free swinging Jays. There is good potential here.

My picks: Price, Lopez; Lopez, Wainwright; Lopez, Montgomery; Morton, Lopez