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FanDuel NFL GPP breakdown: Week 1 main slate

By Brandon Lauderback

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - AUGUST 18:Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks rushes for a gain in the first half of pre-season game play against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium on August 18, 2019 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Adam Bettcher/Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS, MN - AUGUST 18:Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks rushes for a gain in the first half of pre-season game play against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium on August 18, 2019 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Adam Bettcher/Getty Images) /
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ATLANTA, GA – FEBRUARY 03: Todd Gurley II #30 of the Los Angeles Rams warms up prior the Super Bowl LIII at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on February 3, 2019 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA – FEBRUARY 03: Todd Gurley II #30 of the Los Angeles Rams warms up prior the Super Bowl LIII at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on February 3, 2019 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images) /

Top FanDuel NFL GPP plays

Todd Gurley  – I honestly can not remember the last time I saw Gurley priced this cheap on FanDuel. He will be very overlooked, with all of the other great plays soaking up most of the ownership. As of right now, Todd is projected at just over 7% ownership, against the Carolina defense, that was very much average all of last season. This game also has a 50 point total, which is very high considering how mediocre the Panther offense has been.

Todd ranked first in DYAR, and DVOA last season even with the injury late in the season. He still racked up 1,251 yards and 17 total touchdowns. Gurley also had a 57% success rate on rushing plays, which was tied for third in the league. I fully expect his price tag to shoot back up to a normal range in the coming weeks, so this is a perfect buy-low time on Gurley.

Le’Veon Bell – Yet another player that is much cheaper than we are used to. Priced at 7.9k, he will draw the Bills rush defense that was actually the only weak point in that defense last season. Bell is projected at 11% ownership, which I think is a little generous. The reality is that we have yet to see Bell take the field since joining the Jets, and he hasn’t played in a game in over a year after taking off all of last season. Now that can go one of two ways, either he is so fresh that he will light the world on fire, or he is sluggish, and rusty, struggling for the first few games.

We have to go back to 2017 to get any of his stats, but he did rank fifth in DYAR, with 2,000 total yards, and 11 total touchdowns. This play does come with plenty of risks, along with a lot of unknowns. Will he get a full workload? Will the Jets offense be able to move the ball down the field? My prediction is yes to the first question, although I am not sure at all about the overall quality of this offense. He may have to carry the load early, and often, which only benefits Bell.

Matt Breida – Well Matt beat out Coleman for the starting job, although I am not very surprised. We need to get as much exposure as possible to this Tampa game, and while everyone will flock to the chalky obvious plays, we can pay way down for an extreme value play in Breida. After taking over as the starting running back, he put up over 800 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Tampa Bay was ranked 24th against the run last year, and when he faced them last, Matt rushed for 106 yards, on 14 attempts. He also had a decent year receiving, but that will likely diminish with Coleman back healthy. This is a solid value play, that can even be used in your flex spot.

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