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NFL DFS game by game breakdown: Week 4

By Joe Metz

CARSON, CA - AUGUST 24: Tyler Lockett #16 of the Seattle Seahawks takes a knee while the smoke from pre-game ceremonies drifts over the field before playing the Los Angeles Chargersduring a pre-season NFL football game at Dignity Health Sports Park on August 24, 2019 in Carson, California. (Photo by John McCoy/Getty Images)
CARSON, CA - AUGUST 24: Tyler Lockett #16 of the Seattle Seahawks takes a knee while the smoke from pre-game ceremonies drifts over the field before playing the Los Angeles Chargersduring a pre-season NFL football game at Dignity Health Sports Park on August 24, 2019 in Carson, California. (Photo by John McCoy/Getty Images) /
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NFL DFS
LOS ANGELES, CA – SEPTEMBER 08: Los Angeles Chargers Wide Receiver Keenan Allen (13) celebrates after catching a pass for a touchdown during an NFL game between the Indianapolis Colts and the Los Angeles Chargers on September 08, 2019, at Dignity Health Sports Park in Los Angeles, CA. (Photo by Chris Williams/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /

NFL DFS: Los Angeles Chargers @ Miami Dolphins

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers come into this week with the closest thing to a bye week that a team can have without being off. Because of the -16.5-point spread, both running backs Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson should see an ample amount of work. Ekeler has been nothing short of elite this year, seeing 16+ touches in all three weeks this season while playing at least 65% of the team’s snaps. If the Chargers are to jump out to a massive lead, it’s safe to assume he will play a major role in both the rushing and passing game.

Jackson has seen a slight uptick in touches each week (7-8-9) and played a season-high 37% of the team’s snaps last week. While his usage has been gradually increasing, Ekeler’s has been gradually decreasing, as he’s see his snaps drop from 75%-73%-65% over the first three games. This is the perfect game script for Jackson to see a ton of work while they look to keep Ekeler fresh, making him an intriguing value play in GPPs.

Keenan Allen‘s target share may be the most mind-boggling stat in football so far, as he’s gone from 29% in week 1 to 42% in week 2 and 37% in week 3. He’s sure to see all the usage he can handle as the Chargers jump out to a lead, but they’ll likely rely on the ground game come the second half. Allen is a rock solid cash play in a game where he could come close to repeating last week’s 13-183-2 stat line against this non-existent secondary. Mike Williams remains the biggest red-zone threat on the team, but his target share of under 15% on the season profiles him more as a boom-or-bust GPP play.

Even with the ease of this matchup, I see no need to play Philip Rivers, as once this game is out of hand, they’ll lighten up the reliance on the passing game and focus on getting Ekeler and Jackson going on the ground.

Cash Plays: Allen, Ekeler, Chargers D/ST

GPP Plays: Jackson, Williams’

Miami Dolphins

Just don’t do it. I don’t care how “promising” some of Josh Rosen’s throws were, just don’t do it. If you want to get a feel for what Rosen is dealing with, watch this 0:28 second clip from Ian Hartitz:

There is not a single player to consider here…move along.

Cash Plays: none

GPP Plays: none